WaPo: After Alabama loss, Trump has ambitious plans to campaign in 2018 midterms
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  WaPo: After Alabama loss, Trump has ambitious plans to campaign in 2018 midterms
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Question: Will vigorous campaigning by Trump help or hurt Republicans?
#1
Help
 
#2
Hurt
 
#3
Neither
 
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Author Topic: WaPo: After Alabama loss, Trump has ambitious plans to campaign in 2018 midterms  (Read 2339 times)
Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #25 on: December 16, 2017, 05:31:27 PM »

Honestly, this probably has nothing to do with helping Republicans in their races, and everything to do with Donald Trump enjoying being cheered by crowds more than he enjoys being President. The man loves campaigning so this is not surprising at all.

This. Trump just campaigns to get his daily dose of narcissistic supply.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #26 on: December 16, 2017, 07:25:00 PM »

Go ahead, Trump, Dems will gladly take you campaigning in the 25 Congressional GOP seats that are vulnerable due to the GOP's attempt to repeal Obamacare, Hillary won in.
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Blair
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« Reply #27 on: December 16, 2017, 07:36:10 PM »

The issue is that Trump hasn't really worked out how to be a proper surrogate; so far all it's consisted of is a mandering rally where he rants about whatever is currently bothering him, and a blast of tweets where he says 'Democratic Candidate is weak on crime, borders, vets, tax cuts, they're a weak liberal.''

The irony is that in Virginia and Alabama Trump had the exact same tactics as a surrogate.

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Brittain33
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« Reply #28 on: December 16, 2017, 08:07:01 PM »

Republicans are doomed whether or not Trump shows up in their neighborhood or not. The opposition is plenty motivated.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #29 on: December 16, 2017, 08:21:44 PM »

God bless President Trump.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #30 on: December 16, 2017, 08:25:34 PM »

It'll probably help Republicans in Ohio and Wisconsin. Not sure about Pennsylvania and Michigan.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #31 on: December 16, 2017, 09:23:51 PM »

Everything Trump touches turns to sh**t. This will obviously hurt congressional republicans and I can see the vulnerable incumbents turning him down.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #32 on: December 16, 2017, 09:49:27 PM »

Everything Trump touches turns to sh**t. This will obviously hurt congressional republicans and I can see the vulnerable incumbents turning him down.

This

Reminds me of how Obama said in 2014 that "My policies are on the ballot", except on steroids. All that did was motivate Republicans and give them ammunition for their attack ads, and Trump will just be a drag on Republicans in 2018.

This gaffe might have doomed Begich and/or Hagan all on its own, hopefully the Trump version of it helps barely save Donnelly and Heitkamp.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #33 on: December 18, 2017, 03:02:31 PM »

http://news.gallup.com/poll/214349/trump-averaged-higher-job-approval-states.aspx

Hardcore Trumpists who go to rallies ain't gonna make their votes count even harder. Just subtract about 5 points or so from every state.

It's also worth mentioning that just because Trump may be at 50-53% approval in a state doesn't mean he isn't a liability there. Obama was only at like 45-46% approval with disapproval being the same (so he was basically neutral) in 2010 and Democrats still got blown the hell out across the country. Given the distribution of voters, this has to mean heavy losses even in states where Obama was at least marginally more popular than unpopular - similar to Trump's marginal states as well.

I'd say any state where Trump isn't upper-50s or more is probably a place Trump should stay away from. Which by October 2018 will leave like, maybe a few states at best Tongue
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IceSpear
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« Reply #34 on: December 18, 2017, 03:49:51 PM »

http://news.gallup.com/poll/214349/trump-averaged-higher-job-approval-states.aspx

Hardcore Trumpists who go to rallies ain't gonna make their votes count even harder. Just subtract about 5 points or so from every state.

It's also worth mentioning that just because Trump may be at 50-53% approval in a state doesn't mean he isn't a liability there. Obama was only at like 45-46% approval with disapproval being the same (so he was basically neutral) in 2010 and Democrats still got blown the hell out across the country. Given the distribution of voters, this has to mean heavy losses even in states where Obama was at least marginally more popular than unpopular - similar to Trump's marginal states as well.

I'd say any state where Trump isn't upper-50s or more is probably a place Trump should stay away from. Which by October 2018 will leave like, maybe a few states at best Tongue

West Virginia being one. Wink
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mcmikk
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« Reply #35 on: December 18, 2017, 05:39:32 PM »

I imagine it would help rile up the base some, but Trump's overall toxicity would likely hurt the candidate--who will be tied to Trump to some degree--among suburbanites and most voters in general. Net negative or break even.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #36 on: December 18, 2017, 05:41:48 PM »

Maybe even he's willing to camp out in West Virginia and pretend the rest of the country doesn't exist, this might help Republicans. Otherwise, easily a net negative if Trump is actively involved in the campaign.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #37 on: December 18, 2017, 05:47:52 PM »

He reminds me of W. who campaigned in 2006 in places like Nebraska, Wyoming, Idaho and rural Georgia.
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choclatechip45
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« Reply #38 on: December 18, 2017, 10:25:32 PM »

I’m sure the CT GOP is calling Trump to have him campaign for the governor race since they are so clueless how unpopular Trump is in CT.
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ursulahx
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« Reply #39 on: December 20, 2017, 04:24:11 AM »

Help in some areas, hurt in others, surely?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #40 on: December 20, 2017, 09:00:07 AM »

Did he help in Baldwin County, Alabama when he campaigned just across the border in Pensacola for Roy Moore?
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #41 on: December 20, 2017, 12:37:40 PM »

I’m sure the CT GOP is calling Trump to have him campaign for the governor race since they are so clueless how unpopular Trump is in CT.
LMAO
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #42 on: December 20, 2017, 12:39:09 PM »

Help in some areas, hurt in others, surely?
The only areas this will help in are areas that would have certainly gone Republican anyway - i.e, areas where Trump is popular.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #43 on: December 20, 2017, 12:51:03 PM »

Did he help in Baldwin County, Alabama when he campaigned just across the border in Pensacola for Roy Moore?

Baldwin county was  actually one the places where Jones overperformed the most.
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