NY-21 Battle: Tedra Cobb Raises $800K+

[Brittain33]

The category Likely R exists because we need to distinguish NY-21 from districts which:

1. Have not voted for any Democratic President in recent memory
2. Lack a viable or funded Democratic challenger

Stefanik may be in great shape, but she’s not Liz Cheney, and slapping the label “Safe” on the district is ignoring the distinction.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

The category Likely R exists because we need to distinguish NY-21 from districts which:

1. Have not voted for any Democratic President in recent memory
2. Lack a viable or funded Democratic challenger

Stefanik may be in great shape, but she’s not Liz Cheney, and slapping the label “Safe” on the district is ignoring the distinction.

So VA-10 isn't safe then, because it voted for Romney and the NRCC will waste money there?

[Landslide Lyndon]

The category Likely R exists because we need to distinguish NY-21 from districts which:

1. Have not voted for any Democratic President in recent memory
2. Lack a viable or funded Democratic challenger

Stefanik may be in great shape, but she’s not Liz Cheney, and slapping the label “Safe” on the district is ignoring the distinction.

So VA-10 isn't safe then, because it voted for Romney and the NRCC will waste money there?

Are the people at NRCC really THAT stupid?

[Frenchrepublican]

The category Likely R exists because we need to distinguish NY-21 from districts which:

1. Have not voted for any Democratic President in recent memory
2. Lack a viable or funded Democratic challenger

Stefanik may be in great shape, but she’s not Liz Cheney, and slapping the label “Safe” on the district is ignoring the distinction.

So VA-10 isn't safe then, because it voted for Romney and the NRCC will waste money there?

Are the people at NRCC really THAT stupid?

We are talking about republican operatives who are still living in 2004

[Brittain33]

The category Likely R exists because we need to distinguish NY-21 from districts which:

1. Have not voted for any Democratic President in recent memory
2. Lack a viable or funded Democratic challenger

Stefanik may be in great shape, but she’s not Liz Cheney, and slapping the label “Safe” on the district is ignoring the distinction.

So VA-10 isn't safe then, because it voted for Romney and the NRCC will waste money there?

I’d be happy with Likely D for that district, yes. It’s just very unlikely the macro environment will favor House Republicans which would be a necessary criterion for the seat to flip. We also know this district could flip back in 2022 if it doesn’t change its lines and it’s a Dem midterm.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

The category Likely R exists because we need to distinguish NY-21 from districts which:

1. Have not voted for any Democratic President in recent memory
2. Lack a viable or funded Democratic challenger

Stefanik may be in great shape, but she’s not Liz Cheney, and slapping the label “Safe” on the district is ignoring the distinction.

So VA-10 isn't safe then, because it voted for Romney and the NRCC will waste money there?

Are the people at NRCC really THAT stupid?

Yes.