What % of Straight White Males vote Democrat?
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  What % of Straight White Males vote Democrat?
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Author Topic: What % of Straight White Males vote Democrat?  (Read 2195 times)
SomeLawStudent
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« on: November 27, 2007, 05:37:09 PM »

I assume it's pretty low as they seem to win almost every other group.  However, I think if you look at states like New Hampshire and Vermont, which are competitive, a sizable percentage of white males have to be voting democrat.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2007, 06:03:46 PM »

15%, which is union and university folk.
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benconstine
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« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2007, 06:04:08 PM »

Overall, I would say it is roughly 25-30%.  In New England, that number probably goes upwards of 50%, in the South, down in the 10-20% range.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #3 on: November 27, 2007, 06:19:48 PM »

In New England, that number probably goes upwards of 50%

Probably around 45% here in New Hampshire.
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Verily
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« Reply #4 on: November 27, 2007, 06:34:31 PM »
« Edited: November 27, 2007, 06:43:55 PM by Verily »

Around 43% nationwide, I would guess. The gender gap isn't very big, only three or four points, at least among whites (though something like 80% of blacks who vote Republican are men, for example).
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War on Want
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« Reply #5 on: November 27, 2007, 06:44:13 PM »

In Idaho it is probably 32% to 34%. Men in Idaho vote Democrat as much as women do.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: November 27, 2007, 08:24:08 PM »

CNN's 2004 exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

has Bush beating Kerry among white men 62-37%.  If you restrict it to *straight* white men, Kerry's number would presumably go down slightly, but not by much, as heterosexuals make up the overwhelming majority of the population.
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BRTD
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« Reply #7 on: November 27, 2007, 08:41:23 PM »

So probably 36%?

Luckily I live in a state where Kerry won 49% of the white vote. Smiley

Mind you, the rather low nationwide number is ridiculously skewed by the South.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #8 on: November 27, 2007, 11:41:48 PM »

CNN's 2004 exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

has Bush beating Kerry among white men 62-37%.  If you restrict it to *straight* white men, Kerry's number would presumably go down slightly, but not by much, as heterosexuals make up the overwhelming majority of the population.


As a life-long Oregonian, I was stunned to see that Kerry received only 40% of the white male vote here in 2004.  Up north in Washington, a plurality of white males voted for John Kerry!. What explains this discrepancy? Oregon has the same rural/urban geogrpahical dichotomy as Washington state and the Beaver State is only slightly more Republican than the Evergreen State. Truly a strange poll finding...
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BRTD
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« Reply #9 on: November 28, 2007, 12:10:29 AM »

It shows that exit polls are not 100% accurate, as white women in Oregon voted for Kerry more than white women in Washington. It's doubtful Oregon has a gender gap THAT big.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #10 on: November 28, 2007, 12:42:12 AM »

It shows that exit polls are not 100% accurate, as white women in Oregon voted for Kerry more than white women in Washington. It's doubtful Oregon has a gender gap THAT big.

Good point. It seems like the sample size (quite small and geographically dense) is also responsible for the odd split.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #11 on: November 28, 2007, 01:28:37 AM »

I'd estimate around 35-40%: minorities have low turnout as more of them can't or don't vote.

In some parts of the south however it's probably in the single digits.
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« Reply #12 on: November 28, 2007, 01:31:02 AM »

IIRC Mississippi is the only state where men are more Democratic than women.  So at least in my state, I can claim to be part of the smarter gender Cheesy
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BRTD
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« Reply #13 on: November 28, 2007, 01:33:54 AM »

IIRC Mississippi is the only state where men are more Democratic than women.  So at least in my state, I can claim to be part of the smarter gender Cheesy

No, according to the exit poll men and women tied in Mississippi.

Men are more Democratic in Texas, West Virginia and Missouri.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #14 on: November 28, 2007, 05:56:41 AM »

People should not treat data from exit polls as fact. An indication maybe, sometimes a very good one, but never any more than that.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #15 on: November 28, 2007, 06:12:50 PM »

People should not treat data from exit polls as fact. An indication maybe, sometimes a very good one, but never any more than that.

Good point. Remember that exit poll that showed nearly 90% of Jews voted for Democrats in the '06 midterms? Turns out the polls had a sub-500 sample size and only covered a handful of House districts. Worse, the districts polled were highly competitive (ie FL-22 and PA-06) which meant the electorate was abnormally polarized
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memphis
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« Reply #16 on: November 29, 2007, 01:02:50 AM »

A good part of the electorate doesn't always vote for one party. The question is innately flawed because it changes significantly from election to election. This is especially true considering that this topic is in the Congressional Elections board.
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