AL: University of Southern Alabama: McCain leads Clinton, Obama by 20+

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Alabama President by University of Southern Alabama on 2008-03-27

Summary: D: 30%, R: 52%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


McCain: 57%
Obama: 33%

[auburntiger]

Yay for the great battleground state of Alabama

[Tender Branson]

Hopefully SurveyUSA will do their 50-state poll once again so we can see if VA and MO are really becoming the new Alabamas ...

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

This is surprising. Obama's wide appeal to Republicans, Libertarians and African Americans I thought would allow him to break 40-42% in the nation.

[Tender Branson]

This is surprising. Obama's wide appeal to Republicans, Libertarians and African Americans I thought would allow him to break 40-42% in the nation.

I think 40-42% in Alabama is achievable for Obama. African-American turnout has to be 30% of the total vote and Obama needs to win 95% of this group. He also needs to hold Kerry's share of 20% among Whites though.

If the actual results are:

Whites (70%): McCain - 80%, Obama 20%
African-Americans (30%): Obama - 95%, McCain - 5%

Obama would win exactly 42.5% of the total vote.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Well, at least we aren't going to waste money in Alabama this year

[Stranger in a strange land]

This is surprising. Obama's wide appeal to Republicans, Libertarians and African Americans I thought would allow him to break 40-42% in the nation.

Alabama has libertarians?