NC: Survey USA: Dole ahead of Hagan by 4%
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  NC: Survey USA: Dole ahead of Hagan by 4%		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NC: Survey USA: Dole ahead of Hagan by 4%  (Read 2451 times)
Josh/Devilman88
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« on: May 20, 2008, 05:13:29 PM »
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Survey USA on 2008-05-19

Summary: D: 46%, R: 50%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2008, 08:45:02 PM »
The age pyramid is inverted here from McCain vs. Obama; old people prefer Hagan, the young prefer Dole. Weird.
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2008, 09:16:21 PM »
Nice to see the primary bump holding.

If these numbers hold for another week or two, I declare the race competitive.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2008, 11:02:45 PM »
Real good stuff. Three straight polls now that show this will be a very competitive race.
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Meeker
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« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2008, 04:57:43 AM »
2004 exit poll said that Blacks made up 26% of the electorate in the state, but this poll only has it at 20%. Add in some increase due to Obama...
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2008, 06:46:47 AM »
Oh, good:  Dole already at 50%.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2008, 07:28:39 AM »

Ha ha.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #7 on: May 21, 2008, 08:54:41 AM »
Quote from: PPT Meeker on May 21, 2008, 04:57:43 AM
2004 exit poll said that Blacks made up 26% of the electorate in the state, but this poll only has it at 20%. Add in some increase due to Obama...

Good!  I now think Obama may be able to help Hagan over the threshold.  At the moment, my predictions are:

NORTH CAROLINA PRESIDENT -
52% (R) McCain
47% (D) Obama


NORTH CAROLINA SENATE -
49% (R) Dole
48% (D) Hagan
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2008, 05:39:58 PM »
Quote from: Adlai Stevenson on May 21, 2008, 08:54:41 AM
Quote from: PPT Meeker on May 21, 2008, 04:57:43 AM
2004 exit poll said that Blacks made up 26% of the electorate in the state, but this poll only has it at 20%. Add in some increase due to Obama...

Good!  I now think Obama may be able to help Hagan over the threshold.  At the moment, my predictions are:

NORTH CAROLINA PRESIDENT -
52% (R) McCain
47% (D) Obama


NORTH CAROLINA SENATE -
49% (R) Dole
48% (D) Hagan

You guys need to seek some serious help. NC is full of rural DINOs that will not vote for Obama. Learn something about the state outside of the research triangle and Charlotte before you start predicting the state will be a swing state.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: May 21, 2008, 06:44:59 PM »
Quote from: AHDuke99 on May 21, 2008, 05:39:58 PM
You guys need to seek some serious help. NC is full of rural DINOs that will not vote for Obama. Learn something about the state outside of the research triangle and Charlotte before you start predicting the state will be a swing state.

Predicting a 5-point win for McCain doesn't make it a swing state, it makes a Republican state that is closer than normal.
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