Other Source: McCain lead in Alaska at 3

[Wiz in Wis]

Someone with a subscription has to post the full results, but the good people at swing state project give the sneak peak:

Bonus finding: In the 7/18-22 poll, McCain leads Obama by a mere three points in the state -- 47% to 44%.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do;jsessionid=1AB01BE55FC7026D4739B4928B1A1C95?diaryId=2663

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Wow.  Is there any chance a Begich landslide could put Obama over the top here?

[Lief 🗽]

Coattails don't work in that direction.

[Rowan]

Yeah people show up for the Presidential election, they don't go for the Senate race.

[Wiz in Wis]

Coattails don't work in that direction.

Morbo: COATTAILS DO NOT WORK THAT WAY!!!

[Lunar]

Could Stevens have reverse coattails in depressing Republican turnout?

[Verily]

Is Ivan Moore an Alaskan pollster or a partisan one? All I can find in a cursory search is this poll.

[Alcon]

Is Ivan Moore an Alaskan pollster or a partisan one? All I can find in a cursory search is this poll.

I'm pretty sure we had this same problem in 2004, and the consensus was that Ivan Moore is a Democratic pollster.

[Verily]

Is Ivan Moore an Alaskan pollster or a partisan one? All I can find in a cursory search is this poll.

I'm pretty sure we had this same problem in 2004, and the consensus was that Ivan Moore is a Democratic pollster.

Okay. I did find a poll they put out showing Palin with an absurd approval rating of something like 85% (from a few months ago, her approval is now at the normal-absurd level), which seems a bit odd for a partisan pollster, but maybe they work for hire to organizations or something.

[Alcon]

Is Ivan Moore an Alaskan pollster or a partisan one? All I can find in a cursory search is this poll.

I'm pretty sure we had this same problem in 2004, and the consensus was that Ivan Moore is a Democratic pollster.

Okay. I did find a poll they put out showing Palin with an absurd approval rating of something like 85% (from a few months ago, her approval is now at the normal-absurd level), which seems a bit odd for a partisan pollster, but maybe they work for hire to organizations or something.

That's the vibe I get.  Most of their work appears to be for interested, D-leaning parties.  However, I'm not seeing anything that indicates that they're an internal pollster.  I think he's just the pollster of choice for left-leaning Alaskan organizations.

That doesn't mean that his polls aren't left-leaning, but that may be more the fault of Alaska polling than him.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Coattails don't work in that direction.

Glad that I have some backup around here.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Could Stevens have reverse coattails in depressing Republican turnout?

That's what I was thinking.

[Rowan]

Could Stevens have reverse coattails in depressing Republican turnout?

That's what I was thinking.

No because Republicans will show up to make sure Obama doesn't become president.

[Lief 🗽]

Coattails don't work in that direction.

Morbo: COATTAILS DO NOT WORK THAT WAY!!!

[Wiz in Wis]

Could Stevens have reverse coattails in depressing Republican turnout?

That's what I was thinking.

No because Republicans will show up to make sure Obama doesn't become president.

This crotchety old man needs to go... but this crotchedy old man has to become president!

[HardRCafé]

Turnout for the special election to replace Begich as mayor will put Obama over the top.