will mccain win wv by double digits
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Author Topic: will mccain win wv by double digits  (Read 1798 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: September 26, 2008, 05:58:51 PM »
common sense says yes, but recent polling says otherwise.

i still say he does better there than kerry did.
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TomC
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2008, 06:08:13 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on September 26, 2008, 05:58:51 PM

i still say he does better there than kerry did.

Kerry got 43%. You are really putting yourself out there with these bold predictions.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2008, 06:09:28 PM »
Depends on a range of things (turnout patterns especially) that polls can't predict in a place like WV.
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TomC
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2008, 06:11:43 PM »
Wow- even bolder.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2008, 06:15:09 PM »
No.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2008, 06:20:24 PM »

Having fun?
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2008, 06:21:20 PM »
Tentatively yes, though if the economy continues to go south, probably not.
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TomC
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2008, 06:21:46 PM »

So far.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2008, 06:27:50 PM »
I'd say Obama's ceiling here is at best 44-45%. He did horrible in the primary here even when it was pretty much decided he was going to be the nominee. Ditto to Kentucky.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2008, 06:28:31 PM »
Probably. I could see a 55-44 margin or something along those lines.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2008, 06:38:13 PM »
McCain by 8.
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War on Want
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2008, 07:29:33 PM »
Quote from: Al Sibboleth on September 26, 2008, 06:09:28 PM
Depends on a range of things (turnout patterns especially) that polls can't predict in a place like WV.
^^^^^^^^^^
This, polling of WV is pretty hard especially in a race like this. Political machine counties should be interesting this time around...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: September 26, 2008, 07:35:11 PM »
« Edited: September 26, 2008, 10:01:42 PM by Eraserhead »
It seems pretty clear that he's not going to do better than Bush. Economic conditions just won't allow it. Double digits is a possibility though.
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memphis
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2008, 09:58:48 PM »
Quote from: auburntiger on September 26, 2008, 06:27:50 PM
I'd say Obama's ceiling here is at best 44-45%. He did horrible in the primary here even when it was pretty much decided he was going to be the nominee. Ditto to Kentucky.

Primary returns mean nothing regarding the general. Whatsoever.
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TomC
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« Reply #14 on: September 26, 2008, 10:08:50 PM »
Quote from: memphis on September 26, 2008, 09:58:48 PM
Quote from: auburntiger on September 26, 2008, 06:27:50 PM
I'd say Obama's ceiling here is at best 44-45%. He did horrible in the primary here even when it was pretty much decided he was going to be the nominee. Ditto to Kentucky.

Primary returns mean nothing regarding the general. Whatsoever.

Yeah, isn't WV where McCain basically gave up and tried to help Huckabee pass Romney?
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