Ontario municipal elections, 2010

[Linus Van Pelt]

2 things.

http://www.ridingbyriding.ca/

and

Wait, what is this a map of? The mayoral results by ward haven't been released, have they? And surely that's not the result.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

This map is a bit more "accurate"

It is a result of council elections.

[Hatman 🍁]

So many similarities between Ottawa 2006 and Toronto 2010.  Toronto had a record turnout of 52% last night. Based on the numbers, my prediction for Ottawa being between 40 and 50% is accurate.

ETA: Turnout in Ottawa was 44%.

[Hatman 🍁]

I emailed the city asking for ward by ward results, like I usually do, and I got this reply:

Hello Mr. Washburn,

 

The poll by poll results for the 2010 elections are not available yet.

 

At the moment, an external auditor is reviewing and assessing the internal systems and procedures developed by the Elections staff for the voting system to ensure its confidentiality, availability and integrity.  Once the external auditor provides a final report, the results are declared official by the City Clerk.   

 

Therefore, the official results will be declared on October 28, 2010.  That is when the poll by poll results will also become available.

 

Thank you,

 

City of Ottawa / Ville d'Ottawa

Elections Office / Bureau des élections

1221 Cyrville Road, Unit B / 1221, chemin Cyrville, unité B

Ottawa, ON  K1J 7S8 / Ottawa (Ontario)  K1J 7S8

www.ottawa.ca


Will have to wait, I guess.

[Linus Van Pelt]

In Oakville, incumbent Rob Burton (urban planning) beats former mayor Ann Mulvale (sprawl/developers).


Bob Bratina has advocated de-amalgamating Hamilton, which could get interesting. Of course they'd have to get Queen's Park to agree, who may not want to open this can of worms with Toronto and Ottawa.

[Hatman 🍁]

In Oakville, incumbent Rob Burton (urban planning) beats former mayor Ann Mulvale (sprawl/developers).


Bob Bratina has advocated de-amalgamating Hamilton, which could get interesting. Of course they'd have to get Queen's Park to agree, who may not want to open this can of worms with Toronto and Ottawa.

I know people in Dundas want out of Hamilton.

Interestingly, the new mayor of Burlington is a Green Party supporter.

[DL]

This map is a bit more "accurate"

It is a result of council elections.

The new councillor for ward 13 is a New Democrat and can be coloured RED. The new councillor for ward 15 is a very left-leaning Liberal endorsed by the retiring NDP councillor - colour it red too. The councillor for ward 22 is also a left-leaning Liberal - make it red.

YOu can colour ward 1 blue - the guy there is an ardent Ford supporter

[Linus Van Pelt]

Winnipeg's election is today, they have a straight right-left mayoral race (aside from minor candidates) which is quite close - currently it's (the incumbent) Katz 49.1 %, (former Winnipeg North NDP MP) Judy W-L 48.5%, early results with 11% reporting.

[Linus Van Pelt]

but now Katz has pulled away, with 86% reporting he leads 55-43

[Hatman 🍁]

Ah well.

In some weird news, an error I made on Wikipedia was mentioned in the Ottawa Citizen today

http://www.ottawacitizen.com/Brian+Coburn+elected+trustee+that+Brian+Coburn/3731518/story.html

"The confusion over which Coburn is which even extends to Wikipedia, the free online encyclopedia, where the final line in the entry about the former politician said he was elected to the Ottawa Catholic School Board before it was modified later in the day."

When I saw that someone named Brian Coburn was elected to the Catholic Board, I recognized the name and noticed that the other Brian Coburn was mayor and MPP from the same area, so I presumed it was the same person.

[MaxQue]

Was not a good night for the two Manitoba MPs who resigned to run in municipal elections.

W-L lost in Winnipeg and Inky Mark lost in Dauphin.

In other news, the other MP who resigned, Mauricio won in Vaughan on Monday (Ontario).

[trebor204]

Poll by Poll results are avaiable at the City of Toronto elections page. (In PDF format)

If you want them in Excel format (Google Search Open Data Toronto)


Sorry I can't post any links since I need 20 posts.

Replace the 'commas' with 'periods' and 'dashes' with 'slashes'

===

Boardbashi magic...

www.toronto.ca/open/datasets/elections/

[Hatman 🍁]

Ottawa's are up to:



Pretty much my prediction for who would win each ward, although I said O'Brien would win 1-3 wards. I'm surprised at how similar the city is, having only used three colours for this map.

[Hash]

Poll-by-poll is also up. Does anybody have a map of the polls or something, since I feel like doing maps for my neck of the woods.

[Linus Van Pelt]

Toronto by ward. Compare to a map of pre-1997 Toronto. Yeah, certain demographics were voting a bit unusually. (the north Davenport ward!!)

[Hatman 🍁]

Immigrants backed Ford, for some reason. Check out the EKOS poll.

Anyways, some more Ottawa maps.



Hash, I don't have a poll map of this election, but they may have used the same borders as last time. This map shows the poll numbers: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2006_Chiarelli_vote.png

[Hatman 🍁]

In fact, looking at the 2006 map and comparing them to some of the voting locations in Alta Vista where I used to live makes me believe they are using the same (or a similar) poll map.

[Hash]

A random remark: damn, old folks are very pro-incumbent.

[Linus Van Pelt]

Immigrants backed Ford, for some reason. Check out the EKOS poll.

There are, I think, 3 issues here:

1. Ford's campaign was heavily based on resentment of the public-sector unions - indeed, the garbage strike last year is probably the main reason the city was in such a right-wing mood. Since the garbage and transit workers are fairly white and much better paid than immigrants who do similar low-skill jobs in the private sector, many immigrants were sympathetic to this.

2. Unless they're quite low-income, people in the suburbs, immigrant or not, drive to work rather than taking transit. Ford is, to put it mildly, very pro-auto.

3. Smitherman is gay. (It's of course unfortunate that this matters, but in many communities, it definitely does.)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

That's interesting; the bin strike in Leeds is widely thought to have helped Labour in the city council elections there this year.

[Hatman 🍁]

The bus strike probably helped Watson, but I doubt he would've lost without it.

[2952-0-0]

It's been two days since the election and Ford has already broken a key campaign promise:

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/toronto/story/2010/10/27/ford-streetcars-removal524.html

He should have announced his backtracking during his victory speech:

"And I say to you, Toronto, if you were expecting me to keep my promises, X, Y, and Z, I say this to you tonight: FU(K YOU!"