U.S. House National Totals by Party: Comparing 2010 with 2006

[CARLHAYDEN]

U.S. House National Totals by Party: Comparing 2010 with 2006

December 23rd, 2010

Rich Winger has near complete returns (some write-in votes still being counted in Pennsylvania)

Here's a tabular comparison:

                         2010                              2006

Republican     44412227           51          35759040     45
Democrat       38701577          45          42086214     53
Libertarian      1027372             1              560400     1
Green               252688                             293606   
Constitution     251741                            134215   
Others             1387131           2              564411     1
Independents  829906            1              436279   
Total             86862642        100          79834165   100

http://www.ballot-access.org/

[Tender Branson]

The Green Papers tally is somewhat higher:

45.103.735 - GOP - 51.62%
39.122.097 - DEM - 44.78%
  3.142.471 - OTH -   3.60%

87.368.303 votes

In Mid-October I predicted a turnout of about 88 Mio. for the House:

I have calculated slightly different results, using VAP (Voting Age Population):

...

As you can see, Mid-Term elections always have about 2/3 of the turnout from the previous Presidential election.

Therefore I predict about 88.4 Mio. votes for this year in the House of Representatives, which would be 37.5% turnout among the VAP (people aged 18+).

[Sam Spade]

The Green Papers is wrong - a lot of their totals are not the official numbers but rather earlier prior iterations.

I have a total slightly different than Carl's (86,530,550), but I suspect it's because I don't include votes where the state tells us that they're undervotes, overvotes, blank or scattering (I do include if they say these include write-ins - which is one state, I think).  This is not the way most people "do it", but I think it's more accurate.

FWIW, this makes my PV total - GOP 51.82%, DEM 45.05%, OTHER 3.14%.  In 2006, it would have been - DEM 52.86%, GOP 44.84%, OTHER 2.30% with 80,074,681 votes.

3 GOP seats have no vote totals this election as incumbents were uncontested and the state doesn't count it (FL-21, LA-7, OK-4).  There were 5 such DEM seats in 2006, all in Florida (FL-2, FL-3, FL-19, FL-20, FL-23