Mexico State elections July 3rd

[jaichind]

Mexico state elections July 3rd. 
Fifteen million people will vote in the Mexico State polls, which are viewed as key political bellwether ahead of next year's presidential election. Opinion polls published by leading newspapers El Universal and Reforma on 22 June gave Eruviel Ávila, representing the main opposition Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) in elections in Mexico State, a 59% lead over his nearest rival. Ávila remains the frontrunner, helped by Peña Nieto's popularity. Trailing far behind in second place is PRD candidate Alejandro Encinas, with 27% of the vote; Luis Felipe Bravo Mena of the PAN is in third place, with 14%.

The elections will take place at the same time as gubernatorial polls in the states of Coahuila, Hidalgo and Nayarit. Although a PAN-PRD alliance will be in place in Hidalgo in a last-ditch attempt to revive the alliance, the parties will run separately in Cohauila, a PRI stronghold. The PRD refused to run on the same ticket as the PAN in both Cohauila and Nayarit, where the PRI also has a strong chance of winning the governorship.

Should the PRI win the elections, the vote will be viewed as an endorsement of Enrique Peña Nieto, the state's current governor and PRI favourite to win the presidency in 2012. The polls will highlight the weaknesses of the ruling National Action Party (PAN) and the party's short-lived electoral alliance with the leftist Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD). While an ad hoc PAN-PRD coalition to stop the PRI earned both parties the governorships of Oaxaca, Puebla and Sinaloa in 2010, stark differences between them ahead of the Mexico State elections have resulted in the collapse of the alliance, clearly benefitting the PRI.

For 2012    according to a recent Mitofsky poll, 36.8 per cent of the  population would vote for the PRI compared with just 17 per  cent for the PAN, and 15.1 per cent for the leftwing Democratic  Revolution Party (PRD).

[jaichind]

Counting on its way.  So far it is.  PRI has all 3 in the bag

Mexico State
PRI 61.14%
PRD 21.86%
PAN 13.03%

Coahuila State
PRI 56.76%
PAN 30.40%
PRD  1.02%

Nayarit
PRI 45.53%
PAN 36.15%
PRD 11.73%

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Nostalgia for the days of relative stability?

[ag]

Unfortunately, I am on the road in Europe. Once I get somewhere, where I have a computer w/ a decent keyboard and screen (and a bit of time),  I will do some background, etc.