Missouri SUSA: Romney 45 Obama 44

[Minnesota Mike]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ee08561c-b5c6-45c1-b62b-be0abddcfb85&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

[RI]

New Poll: Missouri President by Survey USA on 2012-08-12

Summary: D: 44%, R: 45%, I: 6%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Hmm.  Closer than I would've thought.

[Lief 🗽]

Bad news for Mittens, though this is the first time SUSA has polled here so we can't really compare. They were very accurate here in 2008 though.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

It's a shame they didn't include pre-Ryan and post-Ryan crosstabs.  I can see why they didn't, tho.  The effects of weekday v. weekend polling would have been conflated with any change due to Ryan and trying to explicate them would not be worth the effort, especially since it might give some insight into their polling methodology they wish t keep secret from their competitors.

[Tender Branson]

Strong showing by Obama from a very accurate pollster.

Not so much of a strong showing by McCaskill, who trails Akin by 11 in the same poll.

[Comrade Funk]

Wow, surprising poll.

[Tender Branson]

SUSA knows how to poll Missouri.

Their 1st Congressional District primary poll showed the following:



http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9b9b609b-b0e8-4c9a-b30f-c94bae2f3eb3

The actual results were:

63-34-3

http://enr.sos.mo.gov/ENR/Views/TabularData.aspx?Status=TAllResults

[RI]

Unless the week/weekend splits were identical, either Obama was leading in Missouri before the Ryan annoucement and then Romney got a bounce, or the Ryan announcement tightened the poll up by dragging Romney down. Either way, not great news for Romney.

[Eraserhead]

This fits in with most of the current national polls, which are pretty 2008ish at the moment.

Looks like McCaskill is done though. Oh well, not exactly a huge loss.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Unless the week/weekend splits were identical, either Obama was leading in Missouri before the Ryan announcement and then Romney got a bounce, or the Ryan announcement tightened the poll up by dragging Romney down. Either way, not great news for Romney.

Doubtful that Obama was leading only to suffer from a Ryan bounce given the previous polling, even if it was by other firms.  Either Ryan had no effect or he hurt Romney.  Or this could be an infamous J.J. "bad sample".

[DrScholl]

It really doesn't add up that the presidential race is a tie, yet the senate race is an 11 point spread, there is just no way that Akin does better than Romney. Survey USA has weird numbers some times.

[RI]

It really doesn't add up that the presidential race is a tie, yet the senate race is an 11 point spread, there is just no way that Akin does better than Romney. Survey USA has weird numbers some times.

Akin might have had a post-primary win bounce, as it just recently occurred. Or not. Who knows.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

It's possible that Missourians have or feel they have considerably closer to home reasons to dislike McCaskill, or that the effect of her getting (I'd imagine) attacked on a more or less constant basis by people who were in the state all the time by virtue of the office for which they were running ended up adding up.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Akin is much more popular than Romney. This is what we've been trying to tell you and all the Republicans. Romney is a millstone.

[krazen1211]

Todd Akin has the massive advantage of being 'too conservative'.

[Torie]

Todd Akin has the massive advantage of being 'too conservative'.

Pubs in the show me state must be different than those in CA. I view Akin as an embarrassing fool - a veritable clown. That doesn't mean I wouldn't vote for him this year against his opponent however.