Gravis Poll of Ohio Likely Voters: Obama 45%, Romney 44%
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  Gravis Poll of Ohio Likely Voters: Obama 45%, Romney 44%
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Author Topic: Gravis Poll of Ohio Likely Voters: Obama 45%, Romney 44%  (Read 702 times)
MorningInAmerica
polijunkie3057
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« on: August 30, 2012, 03:44:42 PM »

http://www.scribd.com/doc/104208502/Ohio-August-28-2012-2-1

This poll was conducted on August 27th, though I haven't seen it posted yet. So if there is a convention bounce of any sort, this poll wouldn't reflect it.

Obama: 45%
Romney: 44%
Unsure: 10%

In the Senate Race:
Brown: 44%
Mandel: 41%
Unsure: 15%
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NVGonzalez
antwnzrr
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« Reply #1 on: August 30, 2012, 04:29:01 PM »

From Nate Silver:
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: August 30, 2012, 04:31:16 PM »

Obama's continued strength in OH is his ace in the hole for a close election
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: August 30, 2012, 04:56:18 PM »

We're going to have to spend more money in Ohio.

I think the chances of Mitt Romney winning the PV but losing the EV is much higher than the same happening to Obama.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: August 30, 2012, 05:03:45 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2012, 05:06:03 PM by Legitimate Voter »

Well the GOP side has already spent about $40M in Ohio on TV which is about 10% more than the Dem side.   There has to be a point of diminishing returns with so much ad saturation. I think in the end it will come down to GOTV and organization so the money may be better spent on GOTV. Of course the GOP is also being helped by new reduced voting hours and voter ID laws.
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Umengus
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« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2012, 12:42:34 AM »

From Nate Silver:
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lol nate silver.

apply his logic to missouri (ppp and Ras polls) and you have a problem...
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2012, 01:12:36 AM »

From Nate Silver:
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lol nate silver.

apply his logic to missouri (ppp and Ras polls) and you have a problem...

He does apply his logic to Missouri.  Do you not understand how his algorithm works?
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #7 on: August 31, 2012, 01:15:07 AM »

From Nate Silver:
Quote
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lol nate silver.

apply his logic to missouri (ppp and Ras polls) and you have a problem...

He does apply his logic to Missouri.  Do you not understand how his algorithm works?
Liberal logic is illogical like Spock would say if he was still around.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: August 31, 2012, 01:22:59 AM »

From Nate Silver:
Quote
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lol nate silver.

apply his logic to missouri (ppp and Ras polls) and you have a problem...

He does apply his logic to Missouri.  Do you not understand how his algorithm works?
Liberal logic is illogical like Spock would say if he was still around.

good lord, I'm going to give you the chance to admit you don't know what you're talking about and just wanted to drop a Star Trek reference

if not, feel free to explain
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