IN: Howey Politics/Depauw University - Romney in Control in Indiana

[tmthforu94]

http://howeypolitics.com/main.asp?SectionID=10&SubSectionID=291&ArticleID=8128

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Can't find the crosstabs yet to enter this into the database. Decent group - they got the primary right.

[Reds4]

Romney probably isn't ahead by 12, but Democrats shouldn't expect Obama to contest this state again. Indiana should be a fairly comfortable win for Romney.

[minionofmidas]

And they still find Donelly ahead? Wow. D+1.

[pbrower2a]

President Obama wasn't going to win Indiana without winning a raft of swing states. The Senate seat matters far more to the President. 

[dirks]

If Romney is this stable in Indiana, then wouldn't it make sense that he should be doing better in Ohio?

[Alcon]

If Romney is this stable in Indiana, then wouldn't it make sense that he should be doing better in Ohio?

If you look at a map of county performance between 2004 and 2008, Indiana was a big anomaly.  It swung 22 points, while Ohio only swung 7 -- and the county swings followed by the state border pretty well.  Obama had a definitely advertising/campaigning advantage that artificially pumped his '08 performance, I'd argue unlike in any other state.

[tmthforu94]

2008 results would have been similar to this had Obama not really invested in the state.

[Ty440]

Some rare good news for the Mittster.

[Eraserhead]

2008 results would have been similar to this had Obama not really invested in the state.

He really didn't do that until pretty late in the game.

[ajb]

2008 results would have been similar to this had Obama not really invested in the state.

He really didn't do that until pretty late in the game.

He'd had the advantage of having to organize in the state for the primary, though. It's probably no coincidence that the two narrowest Obama wins in 2008 were in states he'd had to campaign hard in late in the primary season (NC and IN).