Model of when states will be called Tuesday night
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  Model of when states will be called Tuesday night
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Author Topic: Model of when states will be called Tuesday night  (Read 715 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: November 05, 2012, 09:07:06 PM »

Fascinating, IMO.

http://www.the-numbers.com/interactive/newsStory.php?newsID=7747
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Thomas D
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 09:28:23 PM »

That was great. But if it takes over an hour to call Washington Obama is in big trouble.
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heatmaster
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 10:30:47 PM »

I'm torn between having a long election night, or having the race called early -----for Romney!
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 10:41:20 PM »

IMO it takes too long. Washington and Oregon will be called at the same time as California.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 10:50:40 PM »

Interesting. I agree that we won't know by midnight pacific. I think NV gets called before OH.  Nets are going to be very cautious about calling OH. Especially with those provisional ballots.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 11:32:35 PM »

My predictions

7:00 PM - Romney is called in Georgia, South Carolina, Kentucky, and Indiana.  Obama is called in Vermont

7:30 PM - Romney is called in West Virginia

8:00 PM - Obama is called in 3/4 EV in Maine, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, and Illinois.  Romney in Tennessee, Mississippi, Alabama, Missouri, and Oklahoma

8:30 - Romney in Arkansas

9:00 - Obama in New York and Rhode Island.  Romney in Louisiana, North Dakota, South Dakota, 4/5 EV in Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, and Wyoming

Between 9 - 10 Obama takes Maine's second electoral vote.

10 - Romney in Utah

Between 10-11 Obama in Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and New Mexico

11 - Obama in Washington, California, and Hawaii; Romney in Idaho

11 - Midnight - Romney in North Carolina, Arizona and Nebraska 02.  Obama in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Midnight - 1 Romney in Montana; Obama in New Hampshire and Oregon.

1:00 AM - Romney in Alaska,

1:00 AM - 2:00 AM - Obama in Nevada and Iowa

Between 2:00 AM - 3:00 AM, Obama picks up Ohio and wins the election

Between 3:00 AM - 5:00 AM Romney wins Florida

Next day sometime between 6:00 AM to 6:00 PM - Virginia and Colorado are called those two being the last states to be called.
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Stirring Wolf🥣🐺
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« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2012, 04:58:40 AM »

Definitely went a lot faster than this model was anticipating.
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