Which State is Most Likely to Start Using the Mainebraska EV Allocation Method?

[Blackacre]

My guess is a small state that's likely to split its electors if it were to make the switch. The difference of one or two electoral votes would hardly matter, and the state would benefit from candidates coming to swing districts when they otherwise wouldn't have visited at all. Perhaps a state like Oregon or Arkansas? Idk.

Hopefully it would come with anti-gerrymandering laws to prevent one party from abusing the switch.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Michigan, Virginia, and Wisconsin probably. All blue states where Republicans are in power. Illegitimate power in Michigan's case.

No it's legit even in Michigan's case.

[RohnertPark]

Maybe CA. But I hope that won’t happen. Dems need all 55 EVs (hopefully even more after the 2020 census).

That would require either a Republican legislature or for EV allocation by CD to win in a referendum, neither of which is going to happen.

Find someone with $5 million and a dream and it'll make it to the ballot.  If I remember correctly there was an attempt at it once 6 or 8 years ago that went up in smoke, but I'm not able to find anything to support my claim.

[Slander and/or Libel]

Michigan, Virginia, and Wisconsin probably. All blue states where Republicans are in power. Illegitimate power in Michigan's case.

No it's legit even in Michigan's case.

It's legit to pursue policies that explicitly skew the distribution of electoral votes relative to the popular vote, and subject the electoral college to gerrymandering? Cool.

[On Fleek]

There's a slight chance that Idaho might adopt that method.
If McMullin wins the second congressional district - and that's not a completely preposterous assumption - the Idaho Republicans may well initiate a draft bill...

[AmericanNation]

It was being considered for states like WI and MI... that were voting for republicans all the time except in presidential elections.  Now that that frustration is gone from actually delivering electoral votes... it has no chance.   

California and possibly New York are states that should do it for the good of the country and the democrat party...

California is the only plausible state because of the inherent reasons to do it and the path of ballot initiative being somewhat plausible. 

[MAGA]

Hopefully none as long as gerrymandering is so prevalent.

The sooner the better. More representative yet still retains the integrity of the EC.

[7,052,770]

So if Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Florida had all enacted it this year as a way to hand the election to Trump, it actually would have handed the election to Hillary.

Wish they'd done it.