Which Governor race is likely to be too close to call well into Election night?
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  Which Governor race is likely to be too close to call well into Election night?
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Author Topic: Which Governor race is likely to be too close to call well into Election night?  (Read 1037 times)
History505
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« on: September 28, 2018, 07:19:22 PM »

What's your thinking?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2018, 07:27:58 PM »

Georgia, especially because the eventual victor needs 50% to win outright, so even if it's clear who will win with a plurality it won't be called. Also, they take forever to count their votes.

Kansas, especially if Johnson County takes ages to count their votes like they did in the primary.

Maine also seems like it might be close and takes forever to count votes.

Iowa, Ohio, and Wisconsin are also possibilities, depending on how those races shape up over the next month.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2018, 08:49:42 PM »

Yeah, Maine, Kansas, Georgia, Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, maybe Oklahoma and/or South Dakota are all possible/likely candidates.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2018, 05:03:48 AM »

NV & ME Sisolak and Mills have been running tied or behind.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2018, 07:27:03 AM »

Georgia and Kansas seem like the two most likely.
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Horsemask
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2018, 10:10:54 AM »

Maine will take forever. Like IceSpear said, for some reason we're really slow at counting our votes.
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andjey
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2018, 10:11:57 AM »

Ohio, Georgia, Kansas and Oklahoma
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2018, 10:58:54 AM »

Georgia, Kansas, and Ohio are pretty safe bets. I could see Iowa, Maine, Wisconsin and maybe South Dakota taking a while as well.
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2018, 01:53:18 PM »

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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2018, 02:28:21 PM »

Yeah, Maine, Kansas, Georgia, Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, maybe Oklahoma and/or South Dakota are all possible/likely candidates.

Wisconsin doesn't show any signs of potentially being a race too close to call according to the latest polls (Evers' RCP average is 5 and latest polls show up leading by 5-7 pts.). However, if you look at Scott Walker's Twitter and see just how desperate he is, many voters just might fall for his #EducationGov tactic and the polls could indeed be overestimating Evers' possible victory.
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Politician
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2018, 05:49:35 PM »

Oklahoma, Kansas and Ohio.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2018, 07:36:26 PM »

Maine will take forever. Like IceSpear said, for some reason we're really slow at counting our votes.

California is worse on that. Much. Worse. It's rather lucky that it's solid D or it'd take weeks to call it for anyone.
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