How is Kamala Harris a "bad fit" for the Rust Belt?
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  How is Kamala Harris a "bad fit" for the Rust Belt?
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Author Topic: How is Kamala Harris a "bad fit" for the Rust Belt?  (Read 914 times)
OneJ
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« Reply #25 on: May 17, 2019, 09:09:10 AM »

The idea of candidates doing several points (or double digits) worse than others in certain states do to being a "bad fit" is Atlas #analysis at its finest. It's the same as people who think Sanders is a "bad fit" for Nevada/Arizona/Florida, and thus will do somewhere between 3-10 points worse than other Democrats. These things really don't make much of a difference in the end, as evidenced by Obama winning Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida, while Clinton lost all three, but won Colorado. Trump was a "terrible fit" for Wisconsin... until he won it, then it became a "very Trumpian" state. He was also a "great fit" for Nevada... until he lost it, at which point Clinton immediately became the "greatest fit imaginable" for the state. Roll Eyes

In the end, how well Harris does in the Midwest (if she's the nominee) will come down to the type of campaign she runs, her overall messaging, and how she responds to attacks. Same goes for any candidate.

Exactly. Trump has little in common with the average West Virginian and yet he won the state by over 40 points. Sanders is undoubtedly not a good fit for Arizona, but that doesn’t mean he can’t win it. In such a polarized political atmosphere where states will vote a certain way depending on the candidate’s party affiliation and attention to state/how the campaign is run (if it’s a battleground/swing state). You would think that Atlas would know better.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #26 on: May 17, 2019, 02:36:08 PM »

Cory Booker and Kamala Harris are going after Barr, as a result of their low polling numbers.  I think, since Obama, didn't transcend race, like he should have, and governed like an ordinary Dem; as a result, the electorate probably wants to go with a white male, like Biden/Bullock. That's why she won't make the Veep shortlist. Bennet, Bullock or Ryan are on the shortlist.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #27 on: May 17, 2019, 04:43:41 PM »

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/la-ol-2-enter-the-fray-harris-clueless-questions-about-the-1547232312-htmlstory.html

To the extent that the rust belt, particularly the working-class and lower-middle-class suburbs of Chicago, Detroit, and Milwaukee, are still largely Catholic (to say nothing of outlying areas), and that the highest voting demographic is people aged 60-80, Biden is a better fit than Harris. Many of these voters are members of or at least sympathetic to the Knights of Columbus organization; as for my Macomb County hometown in the 1990s, mentioning one's K of C membership was customary for state office candidates of both major parties.

None of this is to say that Harris is an inferior candidate, or that she can't win, or that she wouldn't do remarkably well with certain demographics (perhaps enough to swing AZ, for instance). But her candidacy, even if successful, would likely rest on strength elsewhere than the rust belt.
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