Economist/YouGov nat. poll: Warren 28 Biden 25 Sanders 13 Buttigieg 6 Harris 5
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  Economist/YouGov nat. poll: Warren 28 Biden 25 Sanders 13 Buttigieg 6 Harris 5
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Author Topic: Economist/YouGov nat. poll: Warren 28 Biden 25 Sanders 13 Buttigieg 6 Harris 5  (Read 1072 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 16, 2019, 11:37:04 AM »

Economist/YouGov national poll, conducted Oct. 13-15:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/kvoamfqbbo/econTabReport.pdf

Dems:

Warren 28%
Biden 25%
Sanders 13%
Buttigieg 6%
Harris 5%
Gabbard 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Yang 2%
Booker 2%
O’Rourke 2%
Bennet 1%
Delaney 1%
Steyer 1%
Castro, Williamson, Ryan, Messam, Sestak, Bullock 0%

GOP:

Trump 86%
Weld 3%
Sanford 2%
Walsh 2%
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2019, 11:39:09 AM »

Its basically the exact same poll as last week, but with Buttigieg gaining 1.

Unfortunately, this poll is kinda pointless, since it was taken exactly before the debate(though I guess it would work well as a comparison for next week's).
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2019, 11:45:40 AM »

GOP age gap…

age 18-29:
Trump 66%
Sanford 11%
Weld 7%
Walsh 3%

age 65+:
Trump 96%
Weld 2%
Sanford 1%
Walsh 0%

Dem. crosstabs:

men:
Warren 25%
Biden 21%
Sanders 16%

women:
Warren 30%
Biden 28%
Sanders 11%

age 18-29:
Sanders 26%
Warren 20%
Biden 11%
Booker 6%

age 65+:
Biden 44%
Warren 25%
Buttigieg 6%
Sanders 5%

white:
Warren 35%
Biden 21%
Sanders 12%
Buttigieg 9%

black:
Biden 37%
Warren 13%
Harris 11%
Sanders 11%

Hispanic:
Biden 26%
Sanders 24%
Warren 14%
O’Rourke 9%

Midwest:
Warren 29%
Biden 19%
Sanders 14%

Northeast:
Warren 31%
Biden 26%
Sanders 10%

South:
Warren 28%
Biden 26%
Sanders 14%

West:
Biden 27%
Warren 24%
Sanders 16%
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2019, 02:13:25 PM »

Its basically the exact same poll as last week, but with Buttigieg gaining 1.

Unfortunately, this poll is kinda pointless, since it was taken exactly before the debate(though I guess it would work well as a comparison for next week's).

Indeed, I wonder if Buttigieg will gain a decent amount.

I also speculate that as Biden goes down, Buttigieg will siphon college educated whites away from him.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2019, 02:15:24 PM »

South:
Warren 28%
Biden 26%
Sanders 14%

West:
Biden 27%
Warren 24%
Sanders 16%


Sure...
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2019, 03:50:41 PM »

Its basically the exact same poll as last week, but with Buttigieg gaining 1.

Unfortunately, this poll is kinda pointless, since it was taken exactly before the debate(though I guess it would work well as a comparison for next week's).
I think they are doing a weekly tracker at this point
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2019, 04:13:55 PM »

The poll has Warren as the only candidate with (narrowly) net positive favorability....though it also has Yang as dead even with equal numbers favorable and unfavorable.

fav/unfav %:
Warren 41/40% for +1%
Yang 31/31% for +/-0
Buttigieg 32/33% for -1%
Bennet 18/21% for -3%
Sanders 41/44% for -3%
Biden 41/45% for -4%
Klobuchar 28/33% for -5%
Booker 31/37% for -6%
Bullock 16/22% for -6%
Harris 34/40% for -6%
Weld 16/22% for -6%
Gabbard 24/32% for -8%
Messam 11/19% for -8%
O’Rourke 31/39% for -8%
Ryan 19/27% for -8%
Sestak 13/21% for -8%
Castro 27/36% for -9%
Steyer 19/28% for -9%
Delaney 16/26% for -10%
Trump 41/52% for -11%
Walsh 15/28% for -13%
Sanford 14/29% for -15%
Williamson 18/35% for -17%
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Simfan34
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2019, 06:53:14 PM »

30% of people claim to have an opinion of Wayne Messam?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2019, 02:43:06 PM »

30% of people claim to have an opinion of Wayne Messam?

There's always a decent contingent of respondents who claim to have an opinion of a name they've never heard of before.  30%'s a little high, but 20% for nobodies is pretty common.  PPP did a poll a few years ago in which they just made up a name, and something like 20% of respondents had an opinion of them.  More negative than positive opinion, since people pretending to know someone they don't know are reluctant to say they have a positive opinion of them.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2019, 09:38:33 PM »

30% of people claim to have an opinion of Wayne Messam?

There's always a decent contingent of respondents who claim to have an opinion of a name they've never heard of before.  30%'s a little high, but 20% for nobodies is pretty common.  PPP did a poll a few years ago in which they just made up a name, and something like 20% of respondents had an opinion of them.  More negative than positive opinion, since people pretending to know someone they don't know are reluctant to say they have a positive opinion of them.


Also because they usually get identified with a party, and more Republicans have a knee-jerk negative reaction to any Democrat than Democrats have a knee-jerk positive reaction to any Democrat, and vice versa for Democrats' and Republicans' reactions to Republicans.
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