The last 2 elections where young voters went GOP while the overall vote was Dem
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  The last 2 elections where young voters went GOP while the overall vote was Dem
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Author Topic: The last 2 elections where young voters went GOP while the overall vote was Dem  (Read 1220 times)
darklordoftech
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« on: August 05, 2019, 09:11:35 PM »

are 1976 and 2000.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2019, 09:15:24 PM »

I can understand 2000 but 1976 is a bit of a shock
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2019, 06:47:01 PM »

I can understand 2000 but 1976 is a bit of a shock



People born between 1946 and 1958 voting Republican is a shock?

Compared to say someone born between 1911 and 1931?

The latter would have born the brunt of the Depression and WWII and would have been the biggest fans of FDR, while the latter didn't experience either.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2019, 10:05:22 PM »

I can understand 2000 but 1976 is a bit of a shock



People born between 1946 and 1958 voting Republican is a shock?

Compared to say someone born between 1911 and 1931?

The latter would have born the brunt of the Depression and WWII and would have been the biggest fans of FDR, while the latter didn't experience either.

Considering 'Nam and Carter's blatant appeal based on pardoning the draft dodgers, it's a little shocking.
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Gracile
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2019, 10:27:07 AM »

1976 isn't that shocking considering the Republican trend toward Reagan in 1980, and the fact that there were still a sizable number of New Deal Dems still alive in 1976 in areas that Carter did well.
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dw93
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2019, 06:43:35 PM »

2000 is probably because a lot of Gen Xers that voted for Perot voted for Bush.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2019, 06:47:33 PM »

Wait a second.

There was a modern election where the country voted Dem and young people voted GOP?

That’s shocking to me
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2019, 06:59:57 PM »

What would even qualify as 'young voters'
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2019, 07:03:41 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2019, 07:31:22 PM by darklordoftech »

Wait a second.

There was a modern election where the country voted Dem and young people voted GOP?

That’s shocking to me
Probably because Bush wanted to privatize Social Security while Gore wanted to put it in a “lockbox” and ban Marilyn Manson and video games.
What would even qualify as 'young voters'
Ages 18-29
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Gracile
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2019, 11:54:00 PM »

the Nader factor is also something that should be considered regarding the young vote in 2000.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #10 on: August 08, 2019, 03:59:34 PM »

I can understand 2000 but 1976 is a bit of a shock



People born between 1946 and 1958 voting Republican is a shock?

Compared to say someone born between 1911 and 1931?

The latter would have born the brunt of the Depression and WWII and would have been the biggest fans of FDR, while the latter didn't experience either.

Carter was quite weak with GI's, actually. His strongest support in 1976 came from a solid majority of 22-29 year olds (unquestionably lingering anti-Vietnam sentiment) whereas Ford won the under 21 vote by 51-49. Over 45's gave Carter only 48 percent. I'm not sure what darklordoftech is basing his 1976 claim on.

https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/how-groups-voted-1976
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darklordoftech
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« Reply #11 on: August 08, 2019, 04:02:35 PM »

I can understand 2000 but 1976 is a bit of a shock



People born between 1946 and 1958 voting Republican is a shock?

Compared to say someone born between 1911 and 1931?

The latter would have born the brunt of the Depression and WWII and would have been the biggest fans of FDR, while the latter didn't experience either.

Carter was quite weak with GI's, actually. His strongest support in 1976 came from a solid majority of 22-29 year olds (unquestionably lingering anti-Vietnam sentiment) whereas Ford won the under 21 vote by 51-49. Over 45's gave Carter only 48 percent. I'm not sure what darklordoftech is basing his 1976 claim on.

https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/how-groups-voted-1976
I may have been confusing the 18-20 vote with the 18-29 vote.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #12 on: August 08, 2019, 09:53:13 PM »

Wait a second.

There was a modern election where the country voted Dem and young people voted GOP?

That’s shocking to me

In 2000 only a tiny amount of Millianials reached voting age 
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2019, 05:52:08 AM »

Wait a second.

There was a modern election where the country voted Dem and young people voted GOP?

That’s shocking to me

To be fair in 2000 the vote was so close that tiny things like this happening isn't too outlandish
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #14 on: August 09, 2019, 04:45:45 PM »

1976 isn't that shocking considering the Republican trend toward Reagan in 1980, and the fact that there were still a sizable number of New Deal Dems still alive in 1976 in areas that Carter did well.

This. The New Deal Dems were still around in large numbers and continued voting Dem all through the 80s and 90s, such that Dems had a structural advantage in midterm elections back then (because, as always, older voters turn out at higher rates), and Seniors were being talked about as a Democratic voting bloc as late as the 2000 Election.
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #15 on: August 09, 2019, 06:22:30 PM »

What was the last election year in which the New Deal Dems group was actually a sizable voting block
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Computer89
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« Reply #16 on: August 13, 2019, 01:32:45 AM »

What was the last election year in which the New Deal Dems group was actually a sizable voting block
probably 92
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buritobr
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« Reply #17 on: August 13, 2019, 09:59:15 PM »

In Wikipedia

2000
18-24: 47% Bush, 47% Gore
25-29: 46% Bush, 49% Gore
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_United_States_presidential_election

1976
18-21: Carter 48%, Ford 50%
22-29: Carter 51%, Ford 46%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1976_United_States_presidential_election

In other elections, the 18-29 data were not split
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