Who wins the SC-01 primary?
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  Who wins the SC-01 primary?
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Poll
Question: Who wins the SC-01 primary?
#1
Nancy Mace
 
#2
Catherine Templeton
 
#3
Someone else
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 16

Author Topic: Who wins the SC-01 primary?  (Read 205 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: May 24, 2024, 01:42:14 PM »

Who wins the SC-01 primary?
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KhanOfKhans
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2024, 02:03:17 PM »

Mace will win easily.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2024, 07:16:24 AM »

What’s the bar for avoiding a runoff in SC?  If the bar is lower than 50%, Safe Mace.  If there’s a runoff then it’s Tilt Mace.
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leecannon
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« Reply #3 on: May 25, 2024, 10:59:48 AM »

What’s the bar for avoiding a runoff in SC?  If the bar is lower than 50%, Safe Mace.  If there’s a runoff then it’s Tilt Mace.

It’s a majority so 50%+1

Templeton likely won’t win a runoff. She ran for governor in 2018 and was seen as a front runner to challenge McMaster but fizzled out and came third. Maybe she’s gotten better since then but I won’t hold my breath
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #4 on: May 25, 2024, 12:05:42 PM »

What’s the bar for avoiding a runoff in SC?  If the bar is lower than 50%, Safe Mace.  If there’s a runoff then it’s Tilt Mace.

It’s a majority so 50%+1

Templeton likely won’t win a runoff. She ran for governor in 2018 and was seen as a front runner to challenge McMaster but fizzled out and came third. Maybe she’s gotten better since then but I won’t hold my breath

Mace seems like a pretty weak, ideologically bipolar, and generally dysfunctional incumbent that I think she'd be at risk in pretty much any runoff.
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leecannon
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« Reply #5 on: May 25, 2024, 01:37:12 PM »

What’s the bar for avoiding a runoff in SC?  If the bar is lower than 50%, Safe Mace.  If there’s a runoff then it’s Tilt Mace.

It’s a majority so 50%+1

Templeton likely won’t win a runoff. She ran for governor in 2018 and was seen as a front runner to challenge McMaster but fizzled out and came third. Maybe she’s gotten better since then but I won’t hold my breath

Mace seems like a pretty weak, ideologically bipolar, and generally dysfunctional incumbent that I think she'd be at risk in pretty much any runoff.

Templeton in 2018 wasn’t much better. Maybe she has defined her self more in the last six years but she had the similar vague ideology as Mace. I agree Mace can be vulnerable in a primary, but not against Templeton.
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