Now that the convention has completely died down, my new prediction

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Oregon, Nevada, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Florida, Ohio, West Virginia, and New Hampshire are tossups that lean Kerry.  

Tennessee, Missouri, Arkansas, and Virginia are tossups that lean Bush.  

[Lunar]

Ohio is lean Kerry?  Nevada, Tennessee and Virginia are tossups but Iowa, Pennsylvania, and Michigan aren't?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Ohio is lean Kerry?  Nevada, Tennessee and Virginia are tossups but Iowa, Pennsylvania, and Michigan aren't?

Polls have shown extremely tight races in NV, TN, and VA.  In IA, PA, and MI, Kerry has been consistantly up 5-6 points.  As of right now, Bush has no chance in those states.  I don't think its too surpirsing.  I mean, the DC suburb effect is a mystery right now and we wont know how much of a boost to Kerry they wil give until election day.  TN has been close each of the past 3 elections.  And Nevada is one of the closest states in the country.  

[John]

I think Bush is going to do Great in the Next Three Months & Win this Election

From Hell to High Water for John Kerry & John Edwards