County swings compared to 2004
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Author Topic: County swings compared to 2004  (Read 2080 times)
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jfern
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« on: November 05, 2008, 05:31:26 PM »

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Reds4
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2008, 05:37:59 PM »

Indiana stands out, that's for sure. Also, Orange County and Duval County in Florida, as well as Mecklenberg in NC.



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bgwah
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2008, 05:41:46 PM »

Yeah, Indiana is just mind-boggling. I really don't know how that happened...

I didn't expect Essex, Vermont to swing so hard. McCain didn't even break 40%!

Arkansas is a bad state for Obama + angry about Clinton losing = giant swings...

Appalachia hates blacks as much as people have been saying all along.

Obama destroyed McCain in Hawaii, as expected.

Looks like you can see the Mat-Su Valley in Alaska (that dark red spot there).


A couple questions I have:

What happened along the western coast of Alaska, I wonder?

What's up with that one county in Colorado?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2008, 05:58:20 PM »

The Republican can have the Old South. Good riddance.

It also looks like there was a pretty significant home-state effect for McCain in Arizona, compared to surrounding states.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2008, 06:14:02 PM »

Good grief. George W Bush performed absolutely terrific in the South. As good as a candidate could do while only winning the national popular vote by 2%. And yet the South swings majorly to McCain despite Obama winning the national popular vote by close to 7%.

The black belt swung to Obama by a fairly decent margin. One could just imagine how many white votes he got in that region.

What a cesspool the Old South is.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2008, 06:15:32 PM »

Appalachia hates blacks as much as people have been saying all along.

If this was the case then turnout there would not have been so comically awful (and it fell off a cliff in some places as well). Hatred, when expressed in electoral terms, is usually an active emotion. Not saying that xenophobic attitudes weren't part of the pattern (it's obvious that they were and it would be verging (well, not quite) on George Lansbury insisting that no Eastenders were anti-semites or racists) but that things were more complicated (in several different ways) than hatred of blacks.
I don't know about the white areas further downhill though.

Btw, what's this with "as much as people have been saying all along"? I think we all remember the predictions here of WV being one of McCain's top states and so on. Or is "all along" now something that can be modified when it comes into contact with reality with said encounter with reality being politely not mentioned later?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2008, 06:16:22 PM »

The black belt swung to Obama by a fairly decent margin. One could just imagine how many white votes he got in that region.

If you mean the black belt, then at least three. Maybe five.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2008, 06:17:43 PM »

The black belt swung to Obama by a fairly decent margin. One could just imagine how many white votes he got in that region.

If you mean the black belt, then at least three. Maybe five.

You mean Harry, right?
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tokar
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2008, 08:51:07 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2008, 09:01:47 PM by tokar »

According to that map...

States which had every county vote more Democratic:
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia (over 90%...unbelievable)
Hawaii
Illinois
Indiana
Maine
Maryland
Michigan
Montana
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
North Dakota
Oregon
Utah (impressive)
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington
Wisconsin

States which had all Counties except less than 6 counties go Democratic:
Idaho (1 county)
Iowa (1 county)
Massachusettes (4 counties went more republican, but there are only 14 counties in MA)
Minnesota (2 counties)
Nebraska (1 county)
New York (2 counties)
Pennsylvania (6 counties)
South Carolina (2 counties)
South Dakota (4 counties)
Wyoming (1 county)


States which had every county vote more Republican:
None
Some were close though:
Arkansas in all but 5 counties
Louisiana in all but 18 counties
Oklahoma in all but 11 counties
Tennessee in all but 10 counties
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2008, 09:02:35 PM »


Obama nearly won Salt Lake County.
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