Unless Republicans have managed to register huge numbers since the 2008 election, the partisan breakdown is totally wrong.
It's not a RV poll, it's LIKELY VOTERS. Big difference.
So you think the electorate will change drastically from 2008? Sure the black turnout may go down, but the highly educated white libruls in NOVA will turn out in high numbers. And I wouldn't be surprised if the white rural vote went down at the same time as the black vote, thus negating any ill effect that would have on the democrats. Of course the real reason Deeds would lose today is because he is losing the independent vote, although the defeat would be by 4-5 points not 15 points.
