VA: Survey USA: Virginia Governor

[Smash255]

Ben is right. According to the poll, 52% voted for McCain and 43% voted for Obama. And NOVA is R+15.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't Deeds appeal more to rural voters while McDonnell has more suburban/urban appeal. I'm referring to their personalities and image, not policies.

Deeds has an lean urban and rural appeal and McDonnell has a suburban appeal with some slight urban appeal. That seems to be what most people from Virginia say. It really doesn't seem to be doing Deeds much good...

That would account for the NOVA DC suburbs though.

Not really at this point the mere mention of Republican repulses voters in NOVA

[Smash255]

Unless Republicans have managed to register huge numbers since the 2008 election, the partisan breakdown is totally wrong.

It's not a RV poll, it's LIKELY VOTERS. Big difference.

So you think the electorate will change drastically from 2008? Sure the black turnout may go down, but the highly educated white libruls in NOVA will turn out in high numbers. And I wouldn't be surprised if the white rural vote went down at the same time as the black vote, thus negating any ill effect that would have on the democrats. Of course the real reason Deeds would lose today is because he is losing the independent vote, although the defeat would be by 4-5 points not 15 points.

Party ID and ideology are so far off from 08 its not even worth discussing.  dem +6 to GOP +6.  Conservative + 12 to Conservative + 29??  Sure.....