Predicted Results for 2010 Governor Races

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

I'm not going with percentage, but there's mu guess:

Alabama: Artur Davis (D), barerly

Alaska: Sean Parnell (R), safely

Arizona: Some Democrat instead of Brewer

Arkansas: Beebe (D), safely

Connectitut: Rell (R), safely

California: Brown (D), comforrtably

Colorado: Ritter (D)

Florida: McCollum (R)

Georgia: Tossup

Hawaii: Abercrombie (D), comfortably

Idaho: Otter (D), comfortably

Illinois: Quinn (D), comfortably

Iowa: Culver (D)

Kansas: Brownback (R), safely

Maine: IDK

Maryland: O'Malley (D)

Massachusetts: Patrick (D)

Michigan: IDK

Minnesota: Dayton (D)

Nebraska: Heineman (R), safely

Nevada: Some Democrat

New Hampshire: Lynch (D), safely

New Mexico: Denish (D)

New York: IDK

Ohio: Strickland (D), barely

Oklahoma: Fallin (R), comfortably

Oregon: Some Democrat

Pennsylvania: IDK, but I guess barerly Democrat

Rhode Island: Democratic

South Carolina: Safe D

South Dakota: Republican

Tennessee: IDK

Texas: Hutchison (R) barerly in primary and then in lansdlide in General

Utah: Herbert (R), safe

Vermont: Racine (D), comfortably

Wisconsin: Republican

Wyoming: If term limit overturned, Freudenthal (D) in landslide

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Right now, Artur Davis is probably going to barely win Alabama. The GOP nominee is most likely going to be Byrne or Moore, which are both far less popular than Davis. Davis has the younger people, much of the urban areas, the black belt, etc. behind him. He has just enough to pull it off. Though, whomever the GOP nominee will be, he or she will most likely place emphasis the success of the Riley (R) administration.

Can Davis win enough white voters, that's the question. Obama pretty much had all blacks, young'uns and urban voters in 2008 but only got 38.7%. The make-or-break for Davis is his ability to appeal to conservative whites.

He has the best chance. He's currently leading all projected GOP candidates. He's just too popular to lose. If he can win the key counties in the urban areas, ~30% of the rural white vote, the african american vote, etc, which he currently has support from all those, he will win. I'm fairly confident he will be the next governor.

It would be wonderful to see a Black Democrat as Governor of Alabama