Murkowski and Thune are "barely GOP" while Dodd is safe... no thanks.
Lawl. Why even have that map if you're just going to show 2004 election results with it?
Thanks for explaining their methodology. This looked full-on Dick Morris-type crazy without that.
2. If no other polls were taken within a week of the most recent one, only the most recent poll counts.
3. If one or more polls were taken within a week of the most recent, all of them are averaged, weighted equally."
I suppose most races haven't been polled yet so (just as on this site's poll aggregator, btw) the previous result is used as the base.
Polls HAVE been taken on races in Connecticut and New Hampshire, for instance, two states incorrectly showing huge leads for the incumbent parties based on '04 results. I just think it's a problem with them not focusing enough on those races or that site enough to put them in. August 2009 is a long way off from November 2010—most people haven't seriously put much thought into these races.
