zclark1994
Rookie
Posts: 55
Political Matrix E: 1.55, S: -1.04
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« on: September 01, 2009, 10:19:03 PM » |
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Alright, so very simple question. I know that this may have been done before, But I wan to start a very serious discussion for Republican Members about who stands the best chance of beating Obama and also whose policies you agree with more.
I'll start right off with my Opinion and reasons.
Appealing to Middle (Most likely to win): Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, Rudy Giuliani.
These are 3 candidates who have all been elected in democrat dominated blue states as governors (or in Rudy's case, possible future Governor). I believe that they would have the best chance of winning simply because of their huge appeal to moderates. They aren't to far out to the right, and can bring in a lot of independents and Left Wing voters. The only thing that might be problematic for 2 of them are their A) Religion (Romney), B) Marriages (Giuliani). Also, I believe that Romney's healthcare bill could be his downfall in a general election. For this reason, I believe that Pawlenty is the best choice for Republicans in 2012. Sure he doesn't have the best approval rating in the world right now. But look at his success, he's been governor of a Blue state for 8 years. In my opinion he's probably also going to run in 2012 as he has already stated that he will not run for re-election as governor and he has been appearing on Fox News a lot in the past Month or so.
The Might win Crowd: Jindal, Huckabee, Cantor, and Gingrich.
These are all candidates who, if they played their cards right would stand a good chance in a general election campaign. Jindal could probably do good with the youth, and has had a good track record as governor. Also, he is a talented speaker, save 1 little speech to the entire party. The only thing that I think stands in his way is that he will probably not run in 2012 because of the closeness it has with his re-election camp. Huckabee is to much like Bush, and wouldn't do well in the Suburbs. Cantor would have trouble with his experience, although we did just elect a Junior senator who had only been in the senate for 4 years to the highest office in the Land. So anythings possible. Gingrich would just be a little to Partisan and if he won, it would probably be very close.
No chance in Hell Candidates: Rick Santorum, Haley Barbour, Sarah Palin.
Palin's only had 2 years as governor and has no appeal to moderates, that and she's a complete moron. I don't care if you cry about media bias, you didn't see John McCain shooting himself like that during interviews. And if she's having trouble with the media in Alaska, imagine what would happen if she was President. The other problem I have with her being nominated is that it would be the end of the Republican Party for years to come. Any majorities that Republicans could pick up in 2010 she would destroy. She destroyed McCain's campaign when she ran for VP, what do you think she would do during a Presidential Election. As for Haley Barbour, Fat Bush Clone who doesn't have any chance of winning any moderate state. And Rick Santorum, Creepy looking couldn't even win re-election as a senator decides to run for President. NOOOOO. Santorum would get destroyed by Obama in a general election.
that's just my 2 cents. What do you guy's think? Again, I'm not trying to make a clone poll that's been done a hundred times. I want to start a very serious discussion about the future of the republican party, and the consequences of nominating the wrong person in 2012.
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