Special state legislative elections thread (see OP for results/upcoming races)
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  Special state legislative elections thread (see OP for results/upcoming races)
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Author Topic: Special state legislative elections thread (see OP for results/upcoming races)  (Read 154300 times)
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #125 on: December 29, 2009, 11:51:15 AM »

Well I looked up the candidates picked by the DFL and GOP. Apparently neither State Rep did run. The DFL went with Jason Engbrecht, a physics professor and Faribault school board member. The GOP went with Waseca businessman Mike Parry.

Faribault is the most Democratic of the towns in the district and not the area the DFL needs to focus on, though at least Engbrecht has the right type of last name for this seat. I should do some lit dropping my next weekend.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #126 on: December 29, 2009, 05:38:07 PM »

I dont think Democrats will be winning much of anything until they can get Obama out of the White House.  This is almost as bad as Nixon to the Republicans in 1974. 

Roll Eyes  Are you serious?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #127 on: December 29, 2009, 09:29:03 PM »

There's a special election for Rhode Island House District 62 today. Obama got about 70% there so it's probably not worth noting.

Ridiculously low turnout (the last special for a RI House district was about 1,000 votes):

Democrat Mary Duffy Messier - 296 votes (61%)
Republican Thomas Clupny - 175 votes (36%)
Independent Paul A. Dinsmore - 15 votes (3%)

Which does not include 50-ish absentee ballots.
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Rowan
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« Reply #128 on: December 29, 2009, 09:57:24 PM »

There's a special election for Rhode Island House District 62 today. Obama got about 70% there so it's probably not worth noting.

Ridiculously low turnout (the last special for a RI House district was about 1,000 votes):

Democrat Mary Duffy Messier - 296 votes (61%)
Republican Thomas Clupny - 175 votes (36%)
Independent Paul A. Dinsmore - 15 votes (3%)

Which does not include 50-ish absentee ballots.

Do you have a link to those results?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #129 on: December 29, 2009, 10:07:29 PM »

There's a special election for Rhode Island House District 62 today. Obama got about 70% there so it's probably not worth noting.

Ridiculously low turnout (the last special for a RI House district was about 1,000 votes):

Democrat Mary Duffy Messier - 296 votes (61%)
Republican Thomas Clupny - 175 votes (36%)
Independent Paul A. Dinsmore - 15 votes (3%)

Which does not include 50-ish absentee ballots.

Do you have a link to those results?

http://www.rifuture.org/myblog/district-62-special-election-results.html
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #130 on: December 29, 2009, 10:56:00 PM »

Rhode Island House districts only average about 14,000 people per each one. Still pathetic turnout.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #131 on: January 04, 2010, 09:19:18 PM »

Another one to look forward to -- New Hampshire's 16th Senate district, previously held by Republican Ted Gatsas, who was elected mayor of Manchester. Will occur February 16.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #132 on: January 08, 2010, 02:02:12 AM »

Mike Parry (GOP candidate in MN-26) may have blown it. He posted some stuff on Twitter about Obama being a "Power Hungry Arrogant Black Man" and compared the Democratic Party to pedophiles. His excuse was that those comments were "out of frustration over federal spending". Yeah exactly, that leads to racist comments easily.

Still being a special election that could help him if it encourages the crazies to turn out. Srp's chances probably went up though since he could scare away moderate Republicans to him.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #133 on: January 08, 2010, 07:24:16 AM »

Mike Parry (GOP candidate in MN-26) may have blown it. He posted some stuff on Twitter about Obama being a "Power Hungry Arrogant Black Man" and compared the Democratic Party to pedophiles. His excuse was that those comments were "out of frustration over federal spending". Yeah exactly, that leads to racist comments easily.

Still being a special election that could help him if it encourages the crazies to turn out. Srp's chances probably went up though since he could scare away moderate Republicans to him.

When will Republicans learn not to abuse Twitter?

Fundraising reports through the end of the year for the Virginia Senate elections have been released.

In the 8th, Republican Jeff McWaters raised $821,000 (over half of it a loan from himself), while Democrat Bill Fleming raised $21,000 (which is almost all a contribution from himself). Yes, that's a 40-1 fundraising advantage. I don't know why McWaters needs this so much he is spending a half million of his own money.

In the 37th, Democrat Dave Marsden has raised $380,000, while Republican Steve Hunt has raised $238,000. Both candidates have received a majority of their funds from their respective parties. Interestingly, Marsden has gotten $40,000 more in last-minute contributions since January 1, while Hunt has gotten only $1,000. I guess the Democrats are banking on outspending Hunt to death.
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #134 on: January 10, 2010, 03:49:08 AM »

I'm beginning to think Srp's chances and IP pickup actually are pretty decent. Parry blew it as described above, and Engbrecht hasn't ran much of a campaign at all. Srp also appears to be generating more interest in his campaign stops.

This is just what I'm gathering from blogs and the local news though, I haven't stopped in the district recently.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #135 on: January 11, 2010, 07:24:13 AM »

The Virginia 8th and 37th Senate elections are tomorrow. My predictions:

8th - Bill Fleming has actually been running a spirited campaign, but there's no way he's winning. I'd say it's about a 70-30 McWaters victory.

37th - This one is a total tossup, I think whoever wins will top out at 51%. My guess is Hunt holds it for the Republicans.
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memphis
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« Reply #136 on: January 11, 2010, 07:46:50 AM »

My state house district (TN-83) has a special election tomorrow. It's a very Republican district, but I've been seeing a lot of signs for the Democrat.  My money is still on the GOP Tongue
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memphis
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« Reply #137 on: January 12, 2010, 01:22:23 PM »

My state house district (TN-83) has a special election tomorrow. It's a very Republican district, but I've been seeing a lot of signs for the Democrat.  My money is still on the GOP Tongue
I'm pretty annoyed that the local paper didn't even mention the race today. I know it's only part of the city, but they have plenty of room for stupid fluff.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #138 on: January 12, 2010, 06:42:13 PM »

There's also a runoff in California's 72nd Assembly district (I think this was the one with the lobbyist-schtupping). Results will show up here (after 11 PM Eastern): http://www.ocvote.com/live/72ndgen/results.htm
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #139 on: January 12, 2010, 08:02:19 PM »

Results so far:

McWaters crushes Fleming 79-21 with 30/36 precincts in.

Marsden leads Hunt 52-48 with 18/40 precincts in.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #140 on: January 12, 2010, 08:22:02 PM »

So is marsden likely to win? or are the outstanding precincts more republican?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #141 on: January 12, 2010, 08:31:16 PM »

Of the eight precincts left, four were won by the Republican (Cuccinelli) in 2007, while three were won by the Democrat (Oleszek). One precinct is new since 2007. I can't predict the winner at this point.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #142 on: January 12, 2010, 08:40:20 PM »

Three precincts left and Marsden's up by 400 votes. I think he's won. Amazingly.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #143 on: January 12, 2010, 08:53:53 PM »

I think having McDonnell as governor may have prompted some voters to choose Marsden so that Republicans would not have a chance to control the whole state government. 
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #144 on: January 12, 2010, 09:00:02 PM »

Moderates might also have been scared off by Hunt, who's a firebreathing conservative. Cuccinelli was as well, but he worked hard to maintain a genial, acceptable-to-moderates image and to ingratiate himself with voters.
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Rowan
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« Reply #145 on: January 12, 2010, 09:03:06 PM »

Whoever was in charge of absentees for the GOP really dropped the ball. Those were the difference.
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Meeker
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« Reply #146 on: January 12, 2010, 09:07:31 PM »

What's recount law in Virginia? The margin's greater than 1% with 40 out of 40 reporting so I suspect we're in the clear.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #147 on: January 12, 2010, 09:10:38 PM »

It has to be within, I think, 0.5% for the state to pick up the tab for a recount. It hardly matters, it's not like there's anything to recount. In the last recount (for a House of Delegates district), the margin changed by something like 3 or 4 votes.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #148 on: January 12, 2010, 09:19:33 PM »

My state house district (TN-83) has a special election tomorrow. It's a very Republican district, but I've been seeing a lot of signs for the Democrat.  My money is still on the GOP Tongue
I'm pretty annoyed that the local paper didn't even mention the race today. I know it's only part of the city, but they have plenty of room for stupid fluff.

With absentees, early and 17 of the 20 precincts reporting:

Mark White (R): 2562 (66.6%)
Guthrie Castle (D): 1194 (31%)
John Andreuccetti (I): 95 (2.5%)
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MaxQue
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« Reply #149 on: January 12, 2010, 09:24:23 PM »

Virginia 8th Senate

40/40

Jeff L. McWaters (R): 8,051 votes (78.59%)
William W. "Bill" Fleming (D): 2,184 votes (21.31%)
Write-in: 9 votes (0.08%)


Virginia 37th Senate

40/40

Dave W. Marsden (D): 11,943 votes (50.62%)
Steve M. Hunt (R): 11,626 votes (49.28%)
Write-in: 21 votes (0.08%)
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