Special state legislative elections thread (see OP for results/upcoming races)

[Meeker]

But it's far more fun to mock CARL with multiple threads...

[Meeker]

No special election here, but there is a good chance that the Republicans will pick up a majority on both the Common Council and Bored of Education here in Norwalk. Pretty big around here since we are a normally democrat city.

Do you guys have partisan municipal offices or is just everyone knows which party everyone is?

[Meeker]

Apparently there was a special election for the 38th Assembly district in New York during Tuesday's primary. Here are the results:

Michael Miller (D) - 2,730 (64.55%)
Donna Marie Caltabiano (R) - 1,499 (35.45%)

Here's hoping Mr. Miller's career doesn't end as ignominiously as his predecessor's:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/25/nyregion/25fraud.html

Thanks for the post.

Now, to put things in context.

In 2008 the Democrat nominee for this seat received more than three times the number of votes that the Republican nominee received, whereas in the special election this year, the Democrat nominee did not receive quite twice as many votes as the Republican nominee.

Well, in safe Democrat districts you can get away with such losses, but, in competitive districts, such loses can be disasterous.

ROFL

Have you not learned anything from trying to analyze these special election results CARL? THEY'RE IRRELEVANT. ALL OF THEM.

[Meeker]

I'm confused. There already is a Ty Cobb representing the 64th District: http://www.tycobbonline.com/

[Meeker]

Ok, Tennessee, you're f**cked up.

[Meeker]

Well, it's official. I've given up on Tennessee.

[Meeker]

Who knew Steve Beshear was such a hardball politico? I approve.

[Meeker]

But CARL said...

[Meeker]

By a 78-22 margin, no less. It was 70-30 in 2008, so using Carl logic, this is terrible news for the Republicans.

Yes, CARL's logic is ridiculous.

[Meeker]

Republicans hold SD-14.

Edit: That's a ridiculous overreaction.

Especially considering there was a net Democratic gain of one House, and also a notable failure to take Gillibrand's.

What house did the democrats gain?

I think he meant House seat, referring to NY-23.

[Meeker]

What's recount law in Virginia? The margin's greater than 1% with 40 out of 40 reporting so I suspect we're in the clear.

[Meeker]

Final results

Mike Parry (R): 43.04%
Jason Engbrecht (DFL): 36.50%
Roy Srp (IP): 20.32%

Turnout: 27.24%

[Meeker]

Obama's on the comeback trail!

[Meeker]

Massachusetts numbers

Ross (R): 62% (15,893)
Smulowitz (D): 38% (9,819)

Bleh

[Meeker]

I've seen a couple of Laird signs here.

Who does it look like will win here?  Laird should win since this district is very Democratic and he represented half of the district for many years until 2008 in the State Assembly.  However, Democrats have been doing awful in winnable special elections lately. 

I don't see the district as being very Democratic (if it were so Democratic, perhaps Abel would have had an opponent), and I'm not sure to what extent state legislative special elections in Louisiana or wherever impact the election results here. Tht said, I haven't been along the coast much south of Monterey since I was 7. Laird will clean house in the places I'm familiar with.

The district is certainly very Democratic.  Obama won here by 20 points and even John Kerry won it by seven points. 

So, who won?

I believe the election is Tuesday.

[Meeker]

CARL, you're the only poster on this site that could take two months to respond to a post and have it still not make any sense. Congrats.

[Meeker]

CARL, you're the only poster on this site that could take two months to respond to a post and have it still not make any sense. Congrats.

You really should learn to check dates.

Oh ok, a year and two months and your post still doesn't make any sense. Further congratulations.

[Meeker]

Ok CARL, you win. I bow down to your superior electoral prognostication skills - always deeply rooted in facts and thoughtful consideration.

[Meeker]

Looks like the Democrats won the swing seat pretty solidly - 15/26 precincts reporting and the Democrat is ahead 55-45.

[Meeker]

Does anyone know anything about the six special elections for the NY Assembly happening tomorrow?