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Author Topic: Special state legislative elections thread (see OP for results/upcoming races)  (Read 154969 times)
NY Jew
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Posts: 538


« on: December 02, 2011, 04:17:23 AM »

Only partisan Democrats would be the ones crying over losing legislatures in the deep south, yes.

Then, it must really have hurt to watch the GOP pick up both chambers in New Hampshire, Maine, Wisconsin, Minnesota, the Houses in Pennsylvania, Colorado and Ohio, and the Senate in New York. The last one must have really caused some consternation. Fortunately, the loss of both chambers in North Carolina wasn't that bad since it is part of the South.

There was no excuse for Democrats to lose the New York Senate.  This was caused by a Democratic incumbent losing in a 77% Obama district. 
and the second most McCain district in the state was won a democrat
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NY Jew
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Posts: 538


« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2011, 03:35:18 AM »

I don't think the second most McCain district was as close percentage wise to him than that district to Obama. Do you have the numbers?
the McCain district I was referring to hasn't put up a Republican candidate in what seems like at least 10 years.
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NY Jew
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Posts: 538


« Reply #2 on: December 09, 2011, 01:08:46 PM »

I don't think the second most McCain district was as close percentage wise to him than that district to Obama. Do you have the numbers?

He's talking about Dov Hikind's Assembly district, which is totally irrelevant to the discussion but was extremely strong for McCain, like 70% or so. Of course, Presidential vote is meaningless in that part of the world.


I think he is talking about Carl Kruger's state senate seat.


He's not; that seat is fairly Republican but far from the second-most Republican in the state. It's maybe R+5 or so.
no I was talking about Kruger (the reason Republicans do so bad here is because they never put anyone up (the incumbent R district leader of one the AD in this SD even got a very well known democratic blogger endorsement in his primary race))

here are the NY state senate districts in order of most pro McCain

                           Obama     McCain
Lanza                  38.54%    60.82%
Kruger               44.62%    54.75%
Volker            44.63%    53.80%
Young            45.65%    52.64%
Maziarz            46.85%    51.59%
Flanagan             48.49%    51.15%
Golden               48.88%    50.35%
Griffo            48.79%    49.64%
Seward            48.95%    49.28%
Nozzolio            49.66%    48.85%
Aubertine        49.75%    48.75%
Ranzenhofer        50.44%    48.09%
Hugh Farley        50.48%    47.61%
Winner           51.25%    47.42%
Libous            51.07%    47.27%
Morahan           52.08%    47.25%
Marcellino            52.35%    47.20%
Skelos                52.10%    47.17%
Leibell            52.37%    46.69%
LaValle                 53.40%    46.55%
O. Johnson           52.87%    46.30%
Larkin            53.13%    45.77%
McDonald        52.96%    45.38%
Foley               54.69%    44.84%
Fuschillo               55.39%    43.92%
Saland            54.84%    43.89%
Little            54.64%    43.81%
C. Johnson          55.55%    43.74%
Hannon               55.69%    43.61%
Alesi            55.36%    43.45%
Bonacic            56.39%    42.07%
DeFrancisco        56.08%    41.98%
Stachowski        56.30%    41.92%
Valesky            58.46%    39.83%
Addabbo             61.26%    38.01%
Klein             62.26%    37.06%
Padavan               62.59%    36.65%
Stewart-Cousins    64.17%    35.07%
Oppenheimer        64.79%    34.44%
Breslin            63.85%    34.39%
Stavisky               65.01%    34.21%
Robach            65.85%    33.01%
Savino              66.65%    32.67%
Krueger              75.49%    23.75%
Thompson        76.71%    22.06%
Onorato              79.19%    19.78%
Monserrate        82.21%    17.30%
Squadron            82.59%    16.56%
Parker             84.19%    15.47%
Smith             84.70%    14.92%
Duane               85.49%    13.57%
Schneiderman        87.88%    11.32%
Huntley               89.52%    10.15%
Dilan               89.95%    9.46%
Espada               90.86%    8.80%
Adams               91.45%    8.07%
Díaz                       92.59%    7.14%
Serrano               92.56%    7.03%
Sampson               93.22%    6.65%
Perkins               95.17%    4.30%
Hassell-Thompson    95.85%    3.99%
Montgomery         96.43%    3.14%
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NY Jew
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 538


« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2011, 08:04:48 PM »
« Edited: December 12, 2011, 12:02:44 PM by NY Jew »

I don't think the second most McCain district was as close percentage wise to him than that district to Obama. Do you have the numbers?

He's talking about Dov Hikind's Assembly district, which is totally irrelevant to the discussion but was extremely strong for McCain, like 70% or so. Of course, Presidential vote is meaningless in that part of the world.


I think he is talking about Carl Kruger's state senate seat.


He's not; that seat is fairly Republican but far from the second-most Republican in the state. It's maybe R+5 or so.
no I was talking about Kruger (the reason Republicans do so bad here is because they never put anyone up (the incumbent R district leader of one the AD in this SD even got a very well known democratic blogger endorsement in his primary race))

here are the NY state senate districts in order of most pro McCain

                           Obama     McCain
Thompson        76.71%    22.06%

That one was an embarassing one to lose!


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whats so embarrassing it was one democrat loosing to another think of Bloomberg winning in NY (his first term when he was still officially a Republican)  (all it was was a democrat switching parties for political reasons as opposed to ideological ones and then acting like a democrat once he got in office)
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NY Jew
Jr. Member
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Posts: 538


« Reply #4 on: December 21, 2011, 09:56:48 AM »

if the Republicans nominates someone who is against marriage redefinition (and other parts of the lgbt agenda), has no big baggage, and could do well with the Russian community and the dems nominate Lou Fidler expect the Republican to win (especially now that people (who used to frontrunner) realize that they can win)
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NY Jew
Jr. Member
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Posts: 538


« Reply #5 on: March 22, 2012, 01:25:16 AM »

Per Daily Politics and Celeste Katz, the NYC Board of Elections has the unofficial total for 100% of precincts at Storobin +120, 10756 to 10636.  AP now matches this.

Also, per Board of Elections, 1194 absentees were returned, 437 were invalid, 757 were valid.  2090 were issued in total.  At any rate, we won't know a winner on this one tonight.

Right now, the margin would be just outside that of a mandatory recount, fyi.

Where is NY Jew now?
from the NYT
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/21/nyregion/both-sides-declare-victory-in-bumpy-brooklyn-senate-race.html?_r=2
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http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/22/nyregion/in-overtime-close-senate-election-shifts-to-the-vote-counters.html
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NY Jew
Jr. Member
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Posts: 538


« Reply #6 on: June 01, 2012, 07:52:31 AM »

anyone still not think that being in favor gay "marriage" is a loosing issue in many parts of NY.
first Weprin, and now Fidler.

lets not forget that Alsei is not running for election due to his vote.
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