NJ: PPP: Christie has strong lead (user search)
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  NJ: PPP: Christie has strong lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ: PPP: Christie has strong lead  (Read 1653 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: September 15, 2009, 10:45:34 AM »
« edited: September 15, 2009, 10:50:08 AM by Verily »

Or you could have just listened to me, Moderate. You didn't need a poll to tell you that Daggett's voters were those who normally vote Democratic, absolutely won't vote for Corzine, but are mushy about voting for Christie.

Anyway, 9 is not "strong", and it's contraction of 5 since their last poll (-6 for Christie, -1 for Corzine). Still Christie's race to lose, of course.

Also interesting that "Other" (aka Asian) favors Corzine.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2009, 10:51:06 AM »

If Barack Obama won the presidency by 9 points, would you call that a "strong" win?

Yes, but that would be the actual victory, not a poll. Polls have margins of error. Plus, the Presidency is more polarized than local races. A lead is "strong" when it's at least in double-digits; i.e., it's a lead that's very, very unlikely to change in the last months before an election. Single-digit leads can and do change.
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