NJ: Democracy Corps: Christie leads within margin of error

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: New Jersey Governor by Democracy Corps on 2009-09-23

Summary: D: 39%, R: 40%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[DownWithTheLeft]

Anyone else notice then for Corzine to be close in any poll Christie needs to be down around 40%?  I honestly don't think Corzine ever comes near 45%, its just the Dem internal don't push people at all I'm supposing and deflate Christie's support

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't think it's push polling it all depends on Dagget's support and where it is coming from.  I bet if Dagget gets higher than 5% Christie's numbers go down, if he gets 5% or less Christie's goes up.  I am hoping he gets nearly 10% of the support so it can be a real race.

[Rowan]

Yeah Corzine isn't moving AT ALL. It's people supposedly moving from Christie to Daggett(which makes no sense).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There are plenty of undecides to move this race and with a third party candidate it is even more violitile.

[DownWithTheLeft]

There are plenty of undecides to move this race and with a third party candidate it is even more violitile.

Plenty of undecideds?  For the millionth time, no poll other than this crap partisan one shows Christie + Daggett = <50%

BTW, NJGOP thinks this race is going to tighten, but I think they just want me to work harder

[Aizen]

Stick a fork in Christie.... he's finished.

[Mechaman]

If Corzine ends up winning, I will lose faith in the American education system. Yes he sucks that bad.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

There are plenty of undecides to move this race and with a third party candidate it is even more violitile.

Plenty of undecideds?  For the millionth time, no poll other than this crap partisan one shows Christie + Daggett = <50%

BTW, NJGOP thinks this race is going to tighten, but I think they just want me to work harder

actually, 40 + 11 > 50.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

So this is in line with other polls having Christie up by +7%-ish if we add the usual 6% to the margin that I have so far to DC polls.

[DownWithTheLeft]

There are plenty of undecides to move this race and with a third party candidate it is even more violitile.

Plenty of undecideds?  For the millionth time, no poll other than this crap partisan one shows Christie + Daggett = <50%

BTW, NJGOP thinks this race is going to tighten, but I think they just want me to work harder

actually, 40 + 11 > 50.

Wow, my point just even stronger then lol

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

There are plenty of undecides to move this race and with a third party candidate it is even more violitile.

Plenty of undecideds?  For the millionth time, no poll other than this crap partisan one shows Christie + Daggett = <50%

BTW, NJGOP thinks this race is going to tighten, but I think they just want me to work harder

actually, 40 + 11 > 50.

Wow, my point just even stronger then lol

What's your point again?  Corzine can win with 45% of the vote if Daggett does well enough.  It's a three-way race, sorta.

[DownWithTheLeft]

I'm saying that as long as Christie and Daggett combine for 50% of the vote, Corzine can't win

[Rowan]

I'm saying that as long as Christie and Daggett combine for 50% of the vote, Corzine can't win

Uhh what?

Corzine 50%
Christie 40%
Daggett 10%

[DownWithTheLeft]

I'm saying that as long as Christie and Daggett combine for 50% of the vote, Corzine can't win

Uhh what?

Corzine 50%
Christie 40%
Daggett 10%

Wait, I don't know what I was thinking with that

I mean something along the lines of if Christie has 45 and Daggett has 11, Corzine can't win.  Most polls have similar numbers

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

In reality, I'd say the "magic number" for the New Jersey race is probably 47 (to be generously high).  I've switched my thinking and now believe Daggett really will score in the upper single digits rather than a flat Sabrin 5.

We'll revisit that post debate, of course.