German Election Results Thread

[Хahar 🤔]

Ok, stupid question from the US, did the Pirates run as a left leaning party? If so, than combined with Greens, Linke and SPD that would be really close to CDU/FDP vote total. Once again the threshold law rears it head.

doesn't matter, they don't get any seats without 5% of the vote.

Read the last sentence.

Is it odd that I can't find this thread from the board page?

[DL]

Let's hold our horses until actual votes have been counted. I seem to recall that in the last couple German election, the exit poll projections were saying it would be a big night for the CDU/FDP and then when the votes were counted that advantage melted away.

Incidentally, it looks like FDP gained a lot of ground today. What is the explanation for that? Is it just reaping the benefit of being in opposition to a grand coalition or has there been some sudden growth in yearning for deregulation and tax cuts in Germany (ie: all the policies that have led the world economy down the garden path esp. in the US)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Ok, stupid question from the US, did the Pirates run as a left leaning party? If so, than combined with Greens, Linke and SPD that would be really close to CDU/FDP vote total. Once again the threshold law rears it head.

doesn't matter, they don't get any seats without 5% of the vote.

Read the last sentence.

Is it odd that I can't find this thread from the board page?

It's been stickied.

[Hash]

Incidentally, it looks like FDP gained a lot of ground today. What is the explanation for that? Is it just reaping the benefit of being in opposition to a grand coalition or has there been some sudden growth in yearning for deregulation and tax cuts in Germany (ie: all the policies that have led the world economy down the garden path esp. in the US)

Most likely economically right-wing CDU voters.

[Tender Branson]

Let's hold our horses until actual votes have been counted. I seem to recall that in the last couple German election, the exit poll projections were saying it would be a big night for the CDU/FDP and then when the votes were counted that advantage melted away.

Incidentally, it looks like FDP gained a lot of ground today. What is the explanation for that? Is it just reaping the benefit of being in opposition to a grand coalition or has there been some sudden growth in yearning for deregulation and tax cuts in Germany (ie: all the policies that have led the world economy down the garden path esp. in the US)

Not the Exit Polls. These were pre-election polls ...

[minionofmidas]

ARD Projection, already based on a couple results.
33.4 - 22.7 - 14.8 - 12.5 - 10.6
Marginally better.

[DL]

I'm talking about exit polls. Remember how Stoiber declared himself the winner of the election based on exit polls and then as the votes were counted he had to withdraw his declaration?

[minionofmidas]

I'm talking about exit polls. Remember how Stoiber declared himself the winner of the election based on exit polls and then as the votes were counted he had to withdraw his declaration?

Was closer than now, though. And Stoiber's declaration was viewed as quite premature by all and sundry at the time.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Awsome results.

[minionofmidas]

I note that the CSU has lost about one percentage point - one in seven voters - while the CDU is approximately stable.

[Hash]

I can't wait until real results flow in.

[Tender Branson]

I note that the CSU has lost about one percentage point - one in seven voters - while the CDU is approximately stable.

Bavaria Exit Poll:

CSU: 41% (-8%)
SPD: 16.5% (-9%)
FDP: 15.5% (+6%)
Greens: 11.5% (+3.5%)
Left: 6.5% (+3%)

[Hash]

I note that the CSU has lost about one percentage point - one in seven voters - while the CDU is approximately stable.

Bavaria Exit Poll:

CSU: 41%
SPD: 16.5%
FDP: 15.5%
Greens: 11.5%
Left: 6.5%

Would be hilarious if the FDP surpassed the SPD.

[Хahar 🤔]

I guess these results are best for everyone.

Ok, stupid question from the US, did the Pirates run as a left leaning party? If so, than combined with Greens, Linke and SPD that would be really close to CDU/FDP vote total. Once again the threshold law rears it head.

doesn't matter, they don't get any seats without 5% of the vote.

Read the last sentence.

Is it odd that I can't find this thread from the board page?

It's been stickied.

Ah, that would explain it.

[Tender Branson]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

If things stay as they are and unless I'm misreading summet - worst SPD result since 1932 (if you don't count 1933 as entirely legit), worst CDU-CSU result since 1949.

[Hash]

What happened to the DVU in Brandenburg?

[Tender Branson]

NRW (most populous state):

CDU: 33.0%
SPD: 27.5%
FDP: 15.0%
Greens: 11.0%
Left: 9.0%

[minionofmidas]

Unemployed voters:
Left 26
SPD 22
CDU/CSU 21
FDP 10
Greens 9
other 12

(Sampling error alert)

[Hash]

Unemployed voters:
Left 26
SPD 22
CDU/CSU 21
FDP 10
Greens 9
other 12

(Sampling error alert)

Now, a east-west breakdown on that would be fun.

[minionofmidas]

What happened to the DVU in Brandenburg?

Become a totally disorganized joke. And had the NPD run against it as a result.

[freek]

Now, a east-west breakdown on that would be fun.

ARD-prognosis West-Germany - East-Germany

All voters, not only the unemployed ones.

CDU/CSU 34,5 - 29,0
SPD 23,5 - 18,0
FDP 16,0 - 11,0
Linke 9,0 - 27,5
Grüne 11,5 - 8,5
Pirate 2,0 - 2,0
NPD ?? - 3,0
Other 4,0 - 1,0 (in West incl NPD, in East without)

[Bono]

Best FDP result ever! Rock on Guido!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

How long 'till we get proper results?

[Silent Hunter]

Exit poll found that, in a straight choice, 46% wanted a Grand Coalition and only 40% CDU/CSU-FDP.

Currrent ARD "score" (30 minutes ago)
CDU 33.4
SPD 22.7
FDP 14.8
Linke 12.5
Greens 10.6
Pirates 2.1
Others 3.9

As for proper results, give it an hour or two. Hang on...