'68 Democratic primaries: why did Kennedy win South Dakota and Nebraska?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 05:56:41 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  '68 Democratic primaries: why did Kennedy win South Dakota and Nebraska?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: '68 Democratic primaries: why did Kennedy win South Dakota and Nebraska?  (Read 4737 times)
Scam of God
Einzige
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,159
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.19, S: -9.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 30, 2009, 08:51:02 PM »
« edited: September 30, 2009, 09:03:12 PM by Einzige »

I can understand why he won California (his opposition to the war) and Indiana (minority vote, Indianapolis speech), but what about those two States dallying about the center of the nation? IIRC, Nebraska has a moderately influential Catholic vote, but that doesn't really explain South Dakota, nor should it have been large enough to swing a State for that reason alone.
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2009, 08:55:23 PM »

South Dakota probably swung on the Indian vote.
Logged
Husker
Rookie
**
Posts: 154
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -5.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2009, 10:02:18 PM »

I can't speak for South Dakota in 1968, but I know Kennedy campaigned pretty hard in Nebraska and did quite well with the rural Catholic vote. I believe RFK won Omaha, which combined with the rural vote is a guaranteed win in NE. McCarthy won in Lincoln and in a few rural areas and I have no explanation why on the later. FWIW, Ted Kennedy won several counties in the 1980 primary in eastern NE over Carter. I think Ted may actually have won South Dakota that year. 
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,470
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2009, 11:58:40 AM »

I can't speak for South Dakota in 1968, but I know Kennedy campaigned pretty hard in Nebraska and did quite well with the rural Catholic vote. I believe RFK won Omaha, which combined with the rural vote is a guaranteed win in NE. McCarthy won in Lincoln and in a few rural areas and I have no explanation why on the later. FWIW, Ted Kennedy won several counties in the 1980 primary in eastern NE over Carter. I think Ted may actually have won South Dakota that year. 

Does anyone have a Kennedy/Carter '80 primary map of the states?
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,470
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2009, 12:05:47 PM »

I can't speak for South Dakota in 1968, but I know Kennedy campaigned pretty hard in Nebraska and did quite well with the rural Catholic vote. I believe RFK won Omaha, which combined with the rural vote is a guaranteed win in NE. McCarthy won in Lincoln and in a few rural areas and I have no explanation why on the later. FWIW, Ted Kennedy won several counties in the 1980 primary in eastern NE over Carter. I think Ted may actually have won South Dakota that year. 

Does anyone have a Kennedy/Carter '80 primary map of the states?

Nevermind, wikipedia has everything these days.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_(United_States)_presidential_primaries,_1980
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,774


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2009, 05:05:33 PM »

I can't speak for South Dakota in 1968, but I know Kennedy campaigned pretty hard in Nebraska and did quite well with the rural Catholic vote. I believe RFK won Omaha, which combined with the rural vote is a guaranteed win in NE. McCarthy won in Lincoln and in a few rural areas and I have no explanation why on the later. FWIW, Ted Kennedy won several counties in the 1980 primary in eastern NE over Carter. I think Ted may actually have won South Dakota that year. 

Does anyone have a Kennedy/Carter '80 primary map of the states?

You know, there is a thread just a few down that is all about primaries...
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2009, 09:31:48 PM »

McGovern is why he won in South Dakota, IIRC.
Logged
President Mitt
Giovanni
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,347
Samoa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2009, 08:26:05 PM »

Wasn't George McGovern a big RFK buddy?
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2009, 12:03:50 AM »

Wasn't George McGovern a big RFK buddy?

Aye. He called him to report the results in his home state a few minutes before Kennedy died.
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,409
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2009, 07:53:16 AM »

Ninities?
Logged
Linus Van Pelt
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,144


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2009, 08:20:24 PM »

On south dakota, black turnout probably made a lot of the difference.

Huh
Logged
rbt48
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,060


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2009, 01:44:35 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2009, 07:41:23 PM by rbt48 »


This had me laughing too!

From the 2000 census, South Dakota had a population of 761,063 with 4,685 as black, or 0.6 % of the state total.  I can't imagine that it was a larger slice back in 1980.
 
Logged
Husker
Rookie
**
Posts: 154
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -5.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2009, 01:48:22 PM »


I'm sure he was just joking....
Logged
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2009, 07:38:49 PM »


I wouldn't be so sure.
Logged
RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,774


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2009, 08:15:08 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2009, 08:19:47 PM by realisticidealist »

I just added South Dakota's 1968 Democratic primary to my primary thread, and it appears that Kennedy absolutely dominated among the Native American vote, winning over 90% in Shannon County, plus he won generally in all areas of the state. RFK also won Brown (Aberdeen), Minnehaha (Sioux Falls), and Pennington (Rapid City) Counties, which contain a large chunk of South Dakota's vote.

For the record, RFK won South Dakota by almost 20 points; Kennedy received 49.5% to LBJ's 30% and McCarthy's 20.4%.
Logged
dwkulcsar
Rookie
**
Posts: 72
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2009, 10:44:18 PM »

Got to remember, it was a Primary election. The base showed up.

Kennedy had name recognition and McCarthy didn't make much use of being from a neighboring state. In addition Kennedy was a more broader issue candidate. McCarthy was all about the war for the most part, Kennedy talked about rural issues and this likely put him ahead in these two rural states.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.047 seconds with 12 queries.