Congressional District Results before 1992? (user search)
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  Congressional District Results before 1992? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional District Results before 1992?  (Read 13371 times)
Nym90
nym90
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Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« on: February 08, 2010, 06:14:33 PM »
« edited: February 09, 2010, 01:44:43 AM by Nym90 »

So if every state in the nation used the district system of EV allocation ala Maine and Nebraska the Electoral vote count would've been....

1968
Humphrey 189
Nixon 293
Wallace 56

1972
McGovern 64
Nixon 474

1976
Carter 269
Ford 269

1980
Carter 144
Reagan 394

1984
Mondale 71
Reagan 467

1988
Dukakis 158
Bush 380

1992
Clinton 324
Bush 214

1996
Clinton 344
Dole 194

2000
Gore 250
Bush 288

2004
Kerry 221
Bush 317

2008
Obama 301
Mccain 237

Clearly the district system would be beneficial for Republicans overall. 1976 would've been a mess as almost certainly many close districts would've had recounts....if the tie still stood, presumably Carter would've been elected by the House given its large Democratic majority, and especially considering that he won the popular vote.
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2010, 06:15:51 PM »

1968
D 191
R 243
(only 434 districts then - Hawaii still 2 AL)

1972
D 59
R 376

1976
D 220
R 215

1980
D 129
R 306

1984
D 66
R 369

1988
D 135
R 300

1992
D 257
R 178

1996
D 279
R 156

2000
D 207
R 228

2004
D 180
R 255

2008
D 242
R 193



For 1968, what about the districts that Wallace won? I assume these totals only reflect which of Nixon or Humphrey got more votes in each district?
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Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2010, 01:39:12 AM »

Modified my post above to include 1968. This was one election where arguably the district system would've helped Democrats as it puts Nixon closer to the magic 270 number, so with the Democratic control of the House this might have made a Humphrey victory more likely (though the other possibility is Nixon cuts a deal with Wallace to get his electors to support him).

Otherwise the district system is always good for Republicans except when they win a decisive victory (1988 sized or larger).
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