Robin Carnahan (D): 48%
Roy Blunt (R): 45%
DEM: 90-7 Carnahan
GOP: 84-10 Blunt
IND: 52-31 Blunt
This memo reports on the findings of a survey of 802 Missouri voters. The survey was conducted by telephone, September 15-19, 2009. Respondents were identified using a voter file, and then screened for their likely participation in the 2010 general election. The margin of error for the sample overall is +/-3.5%, but may be higher for subgroups. The survey was commissioned by a group of organizations interested in ballot initiatives in Missouri.
http://www.archcitychronicle.com/files/mem%2010%2006%2009%20senate%20race.pdfDon't ask me why Carnahan leads by 3 overall when she`s down 21 among Independents.
Probably a D+20 sample ...