Ar Senate: DSCC: Lincoln safe for now
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  Ar Senate: DSCC: Lincoln safe for now
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Author Topic: Ar Senate: DSCC: Lincoln safe for now  (Read 1202 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: October 16, 2009, 09:27:06 AM »

A new poll conducted for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee suggests that Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) is in better shape than many political analysts seem to believed. The poll, which was conducted by Pete Brodnitz, shows Lincoln at 50 percent against her two main Republican challengers. Lincoln leads state Sen. Gilbert Baker, who is expected to be the nominee, by a 50 percent to 37 percent margin, and holds a 51 percent to 37 percent edge over state Sen. Kim Hendren
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Padfoot
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2009, 12:11:46 AM »

seeing as this is a partisan poll I'm not entirely convinced Lincoln is out of the woods yet.  However this is certainly a signal that her challengers are not as strong as previous polls have suggested.
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Devilman88
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2009, 09:41:08 AM »

A new poll conducted for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee suggests that Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) is in better shape than many political analysts seem to believed. The poll, which was conducted by Pete Brodnitz, shows Lincoln at 50 percent against her two main Republican challengers. Lincoln leads state Sen. Gilbert Baker, who is expected to be the nominee, by a 50 percent to 37 percent margin, and holds a 51 percent to 37 percent edge over state Sen. Kim Hendren

Of course whate else is a poll by the DSCC going to say!
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Rowan
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2009, 04:15:18 PM »

seeing as this is a partisan poll I'm not entirely convinced Lincoln is out of the woods yet.  However this is certainly a signal that her challengers are not as strong as previous polls have suggested.

So this poll is right and the other ones are all wrong?
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2009, 04:22:58 PM »

A new poll conducted for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee suggests

Well then... it MUST be true.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2009, 04:27:02 PM »

My rule of thumb for partisan/internal polls is: subtract 5 from the candidate being promoted and add 5 to the other side. That would make it a 45-42 Lincoln lead against Baker.
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Padfoot
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2009, 11:36:05 PM »

seeing as this is a partisan poll I'm not entirely convinced Lincoln is out of the woods yet.  However this is certainly a signal that her challengers are not as strong as previous polls have suggested.

So this poll is right and the other ones are all wrong?

Are you illiterate?  "seeing as this is a partisan poll I'm not entirely convinced Lincoln is out of the woods yet"

All I suggested is that previous polls which showed a blowout in the opposite direction might be exaggerated as well.
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Rowan
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2009, 09:15:59 AM »

seeing as this is a partisan poll I'm not entirely convinced Lincoln is out of the woods yet.  However this is certainly a signal that her challengers are not as strong as previous polls have suggested.

So this poll is right and the other ones are all wrong?

Are you illiterate?  "seeing as this is a partisan poll I'm not entirely convinced Lincoln is out of the woods yet"

All I suggested is that previous polls which showed a blowout in the opposite direction might be exaggerated as well.

I was more referencing to this part:

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