2010 dead pool: one year out.

[Badger]

Sounds about right to me.  I also see Republicans picking up the open LA-03 seat.  If things get bad enough for Democrats, I could see Nye(VA-02), Grayson(FL-08), and maybe some other going Republican, although they dont have top tier challengers there.  I actually think Kissell is OK in NC-08.  Democrats did well in that area last night, picking up seats on Charlotte City Council and winning the Mayor's office for the first time since the 80's.  

As much as people talk about Grayson's verbal pyrotechnics putting himself in danger of reelection, the fact is major potential GOP candidates have taken themselves out of the race since his national notoriety has grown. The FL Republicans are last reported to be shopping two teabagger candidates from outside the district, including one from Coral Gables a few hundred miles to the south.

But hey, running a carpetteabagger almost worked in NY-23, right?

[Badger]

Sounds about right to me.  I also see Republicans picking up the open LA-03 seat.  If things get bad enough for Democrats, I could see Nye(VA-02), Grayson(FL-08), and maybe some other going Republican, although they dont have top tier challengers there.  I actually think Kissell is OK in NC-08.  Democrats did well in that area last night, picking up seats on Charlotte City Council and winning the Mayor's office for the first time since the 80's.  

As much as people talk about Grayson's verbal pyrotechnics putting himself in danger of reelection, the fact is major potential GOP candidates have taken themselves out of the race since his national notoriety has grown. The FL Republicans are last reported to be shopping two teabagger candidates from outside the district, including one from Coral Gables a few hundred miles to the south.

But hey, running a carpetteabagger almost worked in NY-23, right?

The thing is with Grayson's antics - you've got to consider that this CD is pretty much in the political center of things.

You know that one day those moderate voters, especially in this area of the world, will tire of this crap and just get rid of him without asking questions.  Obviously, it'll occur if there's a wave or a good candidate runs, but it may well occur without both of them.

The trick is figuring out when their tolerance ends - all in all, he's skating on thin ice, but it'll break at some point.  May not be 2010, of course.

I'll buy that. As amusing as it is to the base, Greyson's got to back it up with some actual legislati ve accomplishments or this, indeed, very middle of the road district will send him packing. Though it doesn't look likely to happen next year short of a wave at this point. (emphasis on those last 3 words).

His rhetoric right now is at about a 9, and he needs to turn it down to about a 6.

[Badger]

Sounds about right to me.  I also see Republicans picking up the open LA-03 seat.  If things get bad enough for Democrats, I could see Nye(VA-02), Grayson(FL-08), and maybe some other going Republican, although they dont have top tier challengers there.  I actually think Kissell is OK in NC-08.  Democrats did well in that area last night, picking up seats on Charlotte City Council and winning the Mayor's office for the first time since the 80's.  

As much as people talk about Grayson's verbal pyrotechnics putting himself in danger of reelection, the fact is major potential GOP candidates have taken themselves out of the race since his national notoriety has grown. The FL Republicans are last reported to be shopping two teabagger candidates from outside the district, including one from Coral Gables a few hundred miles to the south.

But hey, running a carpetteabagger almost worked in NY-23, right?

The 'frontrunner' was from Coral Gables, he moved her earlier in the year. I belive he will be the nominee and has already gotten endorsement from a lot of GOP officials.
He's hispanic: Armando Gutierrez
http://GoGutierrez.com/

Oh and FL-8 is about 18% hispanic, so it could help him.

Yes, because Hispanic voters in Central Florida will gravitate to a candidate that just moved from Metro Miami within the year.