Sounds about right to me. I also see Republicans picking up the open LA-03 seat. If things get bad enough for Democrats, I could see Nye(VA-02), Grayson(FL-08), and maybe some other going Republican, although they dont have top tier challengers there. I actually think Kissell is OK in NC-08. Democrats did well in that area last night, picking up seats on Charlotte City Council and winning the Mayor's office for the first time since the 80's.
As much as people talk about Grayson's verbal pyrotechnics putting himself in danger of reelection, the fact is major potential GOP candidates have taken themselves out of the race since his national notoriety has grown. The FL Republicans are last reported to be shopping two teabagger candidates from outside the district, including one from Coral Gables a few hundred miles to the south.
But hey, running a carpetteabagger almost worked in NY-23, right?
The 'frontrunner' was from Coral Gables, he moved her earlier in the year. I belive he will be the nominee and has already gotten endorsement from a lot of GOP officials.
He's hispanic: Armando Gutierrez
http://GoGutierrez.com/Oh and FL-8 is about 18% hispanic, so it could help him.