Who has the momentum? (user search)
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  Who has the momentum? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which campaign has momentum right now?
#1
Bush
#2
Kerry
#3
Neither
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Who has the momentum?  (Read 10319 times)
Shira
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,858


« on: October 17, 2004, 04:55:29 PM »
« edited: October 17, 2004, 05:02:20 PM by Shira »

Most new figures today are worse (from Kerry's perspective) than those of two or three days back. The only good number today came from Zogby, where the rolling three days difference dropped from Bush +4 to Bush +2, which means, in my estimate that the daily was probably around Kerry +2.
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Shira
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,858


« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2004, 05:08:25 PM »

Most new results today are worse (from Kerry's perspective) than those of two or three days back. The only good number today came from Zogby, where the rolling three days difference dropped from Bush +4 to Bush +2, which means, in my estimate that the daily was probably around Kerry +2.

State polls are looking up for Kerry... Ohio and Wisconsin have tightened up, and one poll in Florida shows Kerry ahead, though its a disputed poll.

As it has been in this campaign until now, a shift in the nationwide number is reflected few days later in the states numbers. In the last days there was a small but clear and consistent shift to Bush.
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Shira
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,858


« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2004, 05:28:09 PM »

Most new results today are worse (from Kerry's perspective) than those of two or three days back. The only good number today came from Zogby, where the rolling three days difference dropped from Bush +4 to Bush +2, which means, in my estimate that the daily was probably around Kerry +2.

State polls are looking up for Kerry... Ohio and Wisconsin have tightened up, and one poll in Florida shows Kerry ahead, though its a disputed poll.

As it has been in this campaign until now, a shift in the nationwide number is reflected few days later in the states numbers. In the last days there was a small but clear and consistent shift to Bush.

I and you know that the Cons would like to gradually get rid of SC. My feeling is that most of the people are going in the dark on this issue and are badly misinformed.

PS: FDR - the initiator of SC is the Democratic president whom the Cons hate the most.
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