VIRGINIA!!!!

[Lephead]

Hey I just found an easy to use precinct chart for Virginia for 2008

http://hamptonroads.com/newsdata/election/2008/results/locality

[bgwah]

It looks like some of the results are messed up. Looking at Petersburg, for example, I can only assume they switched McCain and Nader?

[Lephead]

Oh nevermind.  Somebody found the real thing.

[Lephead]

Ok here's how Virginia turned out :

Obama 1031 precinct for average of : 1205-601-17
McCain 1296 precincts averge of : 553-853-16

[mileslunn]

Ok here's how Virginia turned out :

Obama 1031 precinct for average of : 1205-601-17
McCain 1296 precincts averge of : 553-853-16

I suspect this was the case throughout much of the US.  For starters, are all precincts the same in population or are they larger in urban areas and smaller in rural areas.  Obama tended to win by bigger margins in the areas he won (mostly urban areas and areas with large African-American population) while McCain tended to win in more areas, but not by quite as large a margin.  Although McCain won the White vote in Virginia, a sizeable minority (around 40%) went for Obama whereas over 95% of African-Americans voted for Obama.  I also believe Obama got over 70% of the Latino vote and between 60-70% of the Asian vote.  In a lot of the Northeast and Great Lakes states, you tend to see most of the state going Republican, but by very narrow margins while the large cities going Democrat by massive margins.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Obama got 54.33% in my precinct; Warner got 64.76%, and Moran got 51.6%.

[Bo]

Do any of you think that Clarke, Frederick, Faquier, Stafford, Culpepper, Warren, and Page Counties will become swing/Democratic within one or two decades?

[Bo]

Do any of you think that Clarke, Frederick, Faquier, Stafford, Culpepper, Warren, and Page Counties will become swing/Democratic within one or two decades?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

I doubt it. Prince William and Loudoun are barely swing counties today, and the highest level of growth is still occurring in Loudoun. Those outer counties are growing too, but not as nearly a fast rate. Plus the initial population growth tends to favor Republicans.

[Bo]

I doubt it. Prince William and Loudoun are barely swing counties today

I beg to differ. Prince William is only 3.5% more Democratic than the national average, and Loundoun is just as Democratic as the national average. Those seem like swing counties to me for now, even if they are trending Democratic. I agree with everything else you said, though.

[Derek]

I think VA will remain a Republican battleground state. Republicans continue to win it by moderate margins and barely lose when they get blown out.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

I think VA will remain a Republican battleground state. Republicans continue to win it by moderate margins and barely lose when they get blown out.

[super6646]

I think VA will remain a Republican battleground state. Republicans continue to win it by moderate margins and barely lose when they get blown out.

Nope.