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  Larry Sabato's Senate Rankings
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nhmagic
azmagic
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E: 4.62, S: 4.61

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« on: November 18, 2009, 11:52:15 pm »

I don't ever see his rankings included and he is incredible at forecasting races and elections.

November 19, 2009

Safe Republican
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Georgia
Idaho
Kansas
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Utah

Likely Republican
Florida (either candidate)
Iowa

Leans Republican
Louisiana
North Carolina

Tossup
Arkansas
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Kentucky
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire
North Dakota
Ohio
Pennsylvania

Huh
Texas (until primary he won't rate)

Leans Dem
None

Likely Dem
California
New York 2

Solid Dem
Hawaii
Indiana
Massachusetts
Maryland
New York 1
Oregon
Vermont
Washington
Wisconsin

Link for analysis:
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2009111901
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RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2009, 12:37:28 am »


There is no 2010 senate election in Texas.
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Deldem
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2009, 12:50:25 am »


If Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns her seat during her run for governor (which is looking less and less likely), than there will be.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2009, 12:47:04 pm »

North Dakota would be interesting if Hoeven ran, but until then, no.

If the election in Texas is in November, it's not in toss-up.  Actually, if it's not in November, it's still not toss-up.

Other than that, we agree (or at least are close enough)
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Badger
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« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2009, 03:17:02 pm »

North Dakota would be interesting if Hoeven ran, but until then, no.

If the election in Texas is in November, it's not in toss-up.  Actually, if it's not in November, it's still not toss-up.

Other than that, we agree (or at least are close enough)

Sabato doesn't rate the seat as a tossup. He refuses to rate it at all until after the grubenatorial primary.
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