Dennis Moore stands down

[Filuwaúrdjan]

http://www.kansascity.com/842/story/1587369.html

This isn't going to be an easy seat to defend - especially in a Mid Term election. Not impossible either (of course).

[Wiz in Wis]

R + 1

[Sam Spade]

R + 1

Charlie Cook has its PVI at R+3.

At any rate, that number is going to be slightly inflated (point or two) due to high college and black (yes, the CD is 9% black) turnout in 2008.

But, let's see who the candidates are first.  That being said, these types of CDs have the historical tendency during mid-term elections to go to the party out of power, as Al hinted.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

He either saw some really bad poll numbers or he's getting wind that the Republicans are going to carve up his district come redistricting time. Either way, I doubt the Dems will hold this district, unless they get a top-tier recruit and the Republicans have one of their moderate/conservative catfights in the primary (which is generally the only way Dems win in Kansas).

[tmthforu94]

This just made my day.

[Lunar]

If he was interested in higher office he would have not been voting liberally on stimulus, healthcare, and cap-n-trade.

Also, no one sane wants to go toe to toe with Brownback.

[Rob]

This just made my day.

Let's give a mindless Republican state a mindless Republican congressional delegation! God bless America.

[CatoMinor]

This just made my day.

Let's give a mindless Republican state a mindless Republican congressional delegation! God bless America.

4 out of 5 of kansas's statewide elected officials are democrats...

[Eraserhead]

This just made my day.

That's kind of sad.

[Mr.Phips]

He either saw some really bad poll numbers or he's getting wind that the Republicans are going to carve up his district come redistricting time. Either way, I doubt the Dems will hold this district, unless they get a top-tier recruit and the Republicans have one of their moderate/conservative catfights in the primary (which is generally the only way Dems win in Kansas).

The district cannot be made much worse for him without turning KS-02 into a battleground.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

He either saw some really bad poll numbers or he's getting wind that the Republicans are going to carve up his district come redistricting time. Either way, I doubt the Dems will hold this district, unless they get a top-tier recruit and the Republicans have one of their moderate/conservative catfights in the primary (which is generally the only way Dems win in Kansas).

Best case scenario is that Phill Kline runs for the seat again and wins the nomination.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

He either saw some really bad poll numbers or he's getting wind that the Republicans are going to carve up his district come redistricting time. Either way, I doubt the Dems will hold this district, unless they get a top-tier recruit and the Republicans have one of their moderate/conservative catfights in the primary (which is generally the only way Dems win in Kansas).

The district cannot be made much worse for him without turning KS-02 into a battleground.

KS-01 is 59-39 McCain, the other three districts are around 56-42 McCain. Makes them vulnerable in a particularly bad GOP year, but I'm willing to bet they'd take that risk to make the district safe otherwise.

[Wiz in Wis]

R + 1

Charlie Cook has its PVI at R+3.

At any rate, that number is going to be slightly inflated (point or two) due to high college and black (yes, the CD is 9% black) turnout in 2008.

But, let's see who the candidates are first.  That being said, these types of CDs have the historical tendency during mid-term elections to go to the party out of power, as Al hinted.

I see that I might have been confusing in my terminoligy but I was suggesting that the Republicans were guaranteed a pickup, not quoting PVI

[CARLHAYDEN]

Lets face it, Dennis had the sense to retire undefeated.

It will be interesting to see how many other House Democrats follow his example.

I'll bet Rahm is having nightmares about that scenario.