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  How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House? (search mode)
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Question: Hows many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?
#1None  
#21-4  
#35-9  
#410-17  
#518-22  
#623-44  
#745 or more  
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Total Voters: 112

Author Topic: How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?  (Read 40089 times)
Franzl
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« on: November 24, 2009, 06:09:34 am »

I'd guess about 25.
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Franzl
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Posts: 22,295
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2009, 02:06:18 pm »

Naturally, I'd say 25-35 seats could be expected, though not significant.  I'd say anything above 35, and you are entering re-alignment range.  The GOP doing better than 1994 is not out of the question.

Just as the Bradley Effect costing Obama the election was not out of the question.
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Franzl
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Posts: 22,295
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« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2009, 02:22:43 pm »

Naturally, I'd say 25-35 seats could be expected, though not significant.  I'd say anything above 35, and you are entering re-alignment range.  The GOP doing better than 1994 is not out of the question.

Just as the Bradley Effect costing Obama the election was not out of the question.

Well it wasn't. If you're attempting sarcasm, I'm failing to detect it Tongue

My general feeling is we're in a period (probably since 2006) where the controlling party, whichever one it is, will suffer huge losses after huge but short-lived gains in power.

I'm just mocking J.J.'s analysis, that's it.
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