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  How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House? (search mode)
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Question: Hows many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?
#1None  
#21-4  
#35-9  
#410-17  
#518-22  
#623-44  
#745 or more  
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Total Voters: 112

Author Topic: How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?  (Read 39962 times)
CARLHAYDEN
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,642


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« on: November 24, 2009, 05:56:45 am »

While its a little early to give firm estimates on the change in the composition of the House of Representatives as a result of the 2010 election, it would be interesting to see if members of this forum are in any way realistic.

So go ahead and vote and discuss.
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CARLHAYDEN
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,642


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2009, 01:56:35 am »

I've been running a series of numbers recently, and the most likely scenario at this time is for a net loss (relative to the results of the 2008 elections) of 24 seats.

A lot can change between now and November, 2010 but it is likely that the Democrats will sustain a net loss of at least 17 seats but probably not more than 44.
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CARLHAYDEN
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,642


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2010, 06:58:21 am »

I'd say 20-25.

25-30 now.

I think you are probably correct.

Also, its the ideal number for Republicans.

They won't be a majority, so they won't be saddled with responsibility.

Also, they can hope to keep Nancy 'the nutcase' Pelosi up front and center.
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CARLHAYDEN
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,642


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2010, 07:15:29 am »

I predict the dems will have a 6 seat majority in the House come Jan 2011.

Sounds good.

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