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  How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House? (search mode)
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Question: Hows many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?
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Author Topic: How many seats will the Democrats lose (net) in the House?  (Read 40073 times)
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« on: November 29, 2009, 02:54:18 pm »

Twenty million billion.


It's too early to say, obviously. The only things that are clear is that the pattern of Democratic gains which started (more or less) wi' the Chandler by-election is going to end, and the swing will be higher than average in most of the South. We'll have a better idea by the summer (that's the point at which it became clear in 2006, for those who had eyes to see, that the House was going to fall). Until then, all we're doing is throwing random numbers around, and often those that look pleasing to us. Confirmation bias is the devil of election prediction, and we are all vulnerable to it.
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