Made some changes to Senate/Governor today. Also created Toss-up/Lean D, Pure Toss-up and Toss-up/Lean R for Senate races only as we're starting to get some idea where things begin there so far.
Now I decided to get rid of the Toss-up variations for now. Flip-flop...
Btw, I am starting to see more of the logic that Al's reaching at in concluding that Republicans, in the end, may have a better shot at taking the Senate than the House.
Really? I haven't found Al's analysis in this thread, but is it because you're downgrading the GOP's chance of taking back the House, or are you more bullish than most analysts on the chance of a Republican Senate?
I'm genuinely curious here. From your rankings, Sam, to win the 10 seats necessary for a majority the Republicans would have to win all 5 tossup races, both lean D races (IL & CA), plus one of the 4 current likely D races. That seems like a highly unlikely scenario baring a 1994 like (or probably bigger) wave election, and I really can't see the Democrats keeping the House under such dire national circumstances.
