1964: Johnson v. Goldwater v. a Moderate

[RBH]

This is something I've noticed on President Elect, that if you run a moderate candidate as a third party guy in this race, he gets a lot of votes.

I ran two sims of this scenario with a moderate from Illinois (I put him down as moderate on everything, or all 5s, with pretty good numbers for his personal stuff) and his running mate is from Nebraska

States where The Moderate finished second both times (Johnson-Goldwater-Moderate): Connecticut (40-29-30, 42-28-29), D.C. (44-20-35, 45-20-35), Hawaii (45-24-31, 46-23-31), Massachusetts (44-22-34), New York (42-28-29, 41-28-30), Rhode Island (45-19-35, 46-19-34), Texas (41-26-33, 41-27-31),

States where The Moderate finished second once: Illinois (38-34-28, 35-32-33), Maine (39-31-29, 43-28-28), Michigan (40-31-28, 39-29-31) West Virginia (40-31-29, 42-28-30)

No, I don't get Texas either. This guy couldn't get 10% in all the other southern states.

Overall, first time:

Johnson/Humphrey - 24,150,090 (41%)
Goldwater/Miller - 20,117,472 (34%)
Moderate/Husker - 14,812,213 (25%)

Second time:

Johnson/Humphrey - 24,284,358 (41%)
Goldwater/Miller - 19,513,912 (33%)
Moderate/Husker - 15,291,284 (26%)

Anybody wanna try predicting this, or you could run an Economic Conservative/Social Liberal as a third party candidate in 1964

[Lincoln Republican]

A moderate candidate draws enough votes from Johnson  in the election to help swing the following conservative leaning states to Goldwater
Alaska, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming

Johnson          415
Goldwater       123

[Bo]

A moderate candidate draws enough votes from Johnson  in the election to help swing the following conservative leaning states to Goldwater
Alaska, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming

Johnson          415
Goldwater       123

I agree with this map.