Blue State Mason/Dixons

[TheOldLine]

Bush may only be up 4 or so in Iowa, but he also is up more than 1 in Ohio-- the assumption people are making is that Ohio is a perfect dead heat, which is not the case; it's close but leans Bush in a PV tie nationally.

The polls are only bad news for Kerry in so far as it confirms he is losing, and by a significant if small amount (3-4 points).

Mysterpollster has made a good case that Bush is doin -1 his national number in Ohio right now.

I wouldn't be so sure.

TheOldLine