The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...
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  The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...
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Poll
Question: Who would you vote for in the Austrian Presidential Election ?
#1
Heinz Fischer (Incumbent-SPÖ/IND)
 
#2
Barbara Rosenkranz (FPÖ)
 
#3
Other candidate (please post)
 
#4
Invalid
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: The 2012 Austrian Election Interlude: The rise of Frank Stronach and more ...  (Read 272998 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #625 on: August 06, 2011, 01:40:01 AM »

New Karmasin Motivforschung poll for "Profil":

Do you favor or oppose banning the Burqa ?

71% Favor
23% Oppose
  6% Undecided

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110806_OTS0005/profil-umfrage-mehrheit-der-oesterreicher-fuer-burkaverbot
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #626 on: August 06, 2011, 10:18:14 AM »

More from todays Gallup poll, corruption and Uwe Scheuch:

Do you think Austrian politicians are corrupt ?

71% Yes
15% No

Do you think that corruption in Austrian politics has increased in recent years ?

72% Yes
  5% No

Do you think that Austrian politicians who were found guilty of corruption should go to jail ?

86% Yes

Which Austrian party do you think is most prone to corruption ?

29% FPÖ
14% SPÖ
13% ÖVP
  8% BZÖ
  2% Greens

Uwe Scheuch (FPK leader in Carinthia) has been found guilty of corruption. He has refused to step down from his posts until his appeal to the ruling is reviewed by a higher court. Do you think that Scheuch should step down from his posts or that he should wait ?

74% step down immediately
13% wait for the court of appeals

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110806_OTS0027/oesterreich-71-halten-unsere-politiker-fuer-korrupt
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #627 on: August 06, 2011, 12:01:17 PM »

Not good numbers on that issue for a protest party that is as blatantly one as the FPÖ.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #628 on: August 06, 2011, 02:10:59 PM »

Not good numbers on that issue for a protest party that is as blatantly one as the FPÖ.

In 2 years, nobody will know the scandals of this year, so the FPÖ still has some room to grow.

Just think about early last year before the Presidential election when the FPÖ also polled 25%, then Rosenkranz came with her statements and lost the election by a wide margin, the FPÖ fell to about 20% and then after the moderate austerity package was passed by the government it gained ground and almost reached 30%.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #629 on: August 06, 2011, 02:25:38 PM »

The FPÖ is currently already very consolidated on a high level, so you won't see them collapse much further. I have found a new OGM poll for the newspaper "Heute", in which only 13% of FPÖ voters say the recent FPÖ scandals will have a negative impact for the party's future. 77% of FPÖ voters say there will be no impact.

On the other hand, 43% of ÖVP voters say the scandals will have a negative impact and 68% of SPÖ voters and 69% of Green voters. 51% of women and 60% of men agree.

http://www.heute.at/news/politik/Juengste-FP-Skandale-schaden-H-C-Strache;art422,585625
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #630 on: August 08, 2011, 01:36:32 AM »

The FPÖ really has a "bad" run right now (not that I mind it ... Wink):

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #631 on: August 08, 2011, 01:42:48 AM »

What the article says:

It has been revealed that FPÖ-leader Strache is one of 3 admins on a Anti-Muslim Facebook group ("No Turkey in the EU") that advocates the "slaughtering of Muslims" and calls for a "bomb rain on Muslim soil".

It also says that "poison gas is an appropriate tool of keeping Europe safe from foreign Muslim infiltration". The members of the site greeted themselves with the code "88" and so on.

Strache meanwhile said that he had nothing to do with the site and that he cannot control every Facebook group that is set up and uses his name ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


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« Reply #632 on: August 11, 2011, 02:03:19 AM »

New poll about abortions in Austria:

62% of Austrians are in favor that abortions should be performed in every Austrian hospital, while 28% think the current 30 or so hospitals and private medical practices are sufficient.

http://www.ots.at/presseaussendung/OTS_20110811_OTS0014/profil-umfrage-haelfte-der-oesterreicher-fuer-eine-ehe-light
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Austria


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« Reply #633 on: August 11, 2011, 03:07:34 AM »

The SPÖ-lead is increasing in the latest Profil poll by Karmasin Motivforschung:

29% [+2] SPÖ
24%  [-3] FPÖ
23%  [nc] ÖVP
15% [+1] Greens
  5%  [-1] BZÖ
  4% [+1] Others

Direct vote for Chancellor:

23% Werner Faymann (SPÖ)
16% Michael Spindelegger (ÖVP)
12% Heinz-Christian Strache (FPÖ)
  7% Eva Glawischnig (Greens)

http://www.profil.at/articles/1132/560/304166/sonntagsfrage-umfrage-spoe-oevp-platz
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #634 on: August 17, 2011, 09:03:17 AM »

As I have predicted before, the FPÖ has probably bottomed out after dropping a few points in the recent "scandalous" weeks. New poll by IMAS out today:

26% SPÖ
25% FPÖ
25% ÖVP
13% Greens
  5% BZÖ
  6% Others

http://diepresse.com/home/politik/innenpolitik/686143/Umfrage_SPOe-OeVP-und-FPOe-liegen-Kopf-an-Kopf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #635 on: August 21, 2011, 01:29:12 AM »

New Gallup poll out today:



Approval ratings of Austrian party leaders (left) and direct vote for Chancellor (right):



http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Strache-fuer-58-Minus-Mann/37890725
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #636 on: August 22, 2011, 05:25:46 AM »

A few OGM polls out today:

66% of Austrians are in favor of a constitutional balanced budget amendment ("Schuldenbremse").

65% oppose a future joint economic government of the EU and cede more powers to Brussels.

63% oppose opening stores on Sundays for shopping, just 29% are in favor.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #637 on: September 02, 2011, 01:31:16 AM »

A new corruption scandal involving Eurofighter contractors, the Telekom Austria, lobbyists and former cabinet members of the ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ government between 2000 and 2006 is now dragging down ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ, according to a new Gallup poll:





78% of Austrians now favor a parliamentary committee of inquiry for the Telekom-scandal.

The ÖVP is now also speculating that the SPÖ could trigger early elections, because the scandal is dragging the former ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ government down in the polls and they see a chance to win the elections. Other than that, the SPÖVP coalition is currently in a cold war concerning draft abolition, taxes on the rich etc.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #638 on: September 02, 2011, 01:54:15 AM »

Wow, the Schüssel government (2000-2006) was even more corrupt than I thought. But this is what you get when you elect a right-winger government.

Ö24 lists the sums that were channelled by lobbyists to ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ government officials and partys during 2000-2006:

84 Mio. € - Eurofighter consortium (Bergner, Plattner and Schön)
25 Mio. € - Telekom Austria (Hochegger, Gorbach)
10 Mio. € - BUWOG (Grasser, Meischberger, Hochegger)
  6 Mio. € - ÖBB (Hochegger, Huber)
  4 Mio. € - Wireless Licenses (Menssdorff-Pouilly)
  2 Mio. € - Asfinag (Reichhold)

Hopefully ÖVP-FPÖ-BZÖ can be permanently damaged with this in the next 2 years, so that SPÖ-Green gets near 45-50%.

http://kurier.at/nachrichten/4145969.php

http://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Eurofighter-84-Mio-Schmiergeld-an-Politiker/39159368
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Franzl
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« Reply #639 on: September 02, 2011, 02:41:43 AM »

Ah, right, that's "what you get" for nit voting left-wing. There's never corruption among them.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #640 on: September 04, 2011, 01:24:06 PM »

A few new polls out today:

Market/Standard:

28% SPÖ
25% ÖVP
25% FPÖ
12% Greens
  6% BZÖ
  4% Others

Direct vote for Chancellor:

30% Faymann (SPÖ)
18% Spindelegger (ÖVP)
  8% Strache (FPÖ)

http://derstandard.at/1315005434831/Market-Umfrage-Umfrage-staerkt-Faymanns-Position

Trend Chart:



There's also a new Upper Austria state elections poll by IMAS:



http://www.krone.at/Nachrichten/OOe_Auf_Siegeszug_der_Landes-VP_folgt_nun_Absturz-Krone-Umfrage-Story-295080
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #641 on: September 05, 2011, 09:57:14 AM »

Former Austrian chancellor resigns amid corruption scandal

Austria's former chancellor, Wolfgang Schüssel, has ended his political career as a corruption scandal continues to unfold around him. Schüssel said he gave up his seat in parliament to make the investigation easier.



Former Austrian Chancellor Wolfgang Schüssel announced his resignation from politics on Monday. This means giving up his seat in the Austrian parliament, which he intends to do by the end of the week.

Schüssel was chancellor of Austria from 2000 to 2007 and headed two controversial cabinets. In recent weeks, there has been plenty of media speculation that Schüssel or associates from his Austrian People's Party (ÖVP) were involved in cases of corruption where companies, including Telekom Austria, allegedly made payments to politicians.

The former chancellor maintains his innocence and said Monday that he only resigned to make it easier for the Austrian judicial system to come to an objective conclusion in the case.

"No one, including me, can exclude that my trust was betrayed or abused by someone," said Schüssel. "No one would regret it more than me [if that were the case]. That's why we need total clarity on this issue."

Schüssel spent a total of 32 years in the Austrian parliament and served as the head of the Austrian People's Party from 1995 through the end of his time as chancellor.

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,15365554,00.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #642 on: September 09, 2011, 07:09:47 AM »

Christine Marek, head of the ever-shrinking Vienna ÖVP, surprisingly stepped down today.

It has became known recently that the Vienna ÖVP fell below 10% in internal polling ... Tongue
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Franzl
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« Reply #643 on: September 09, 2011, 07:10:52 AM »

Christine Marek, head of the ever-shrinking Vienna ÖVP, surprisingly stepped down today.

It has became known recently that the Vienna ÖVP fell below 10% in internal polling ... Tongue

Got any recent Vienna polls? That would be quite interesting.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #644 on: September 09, 2011, 07:15:22 AM »

Christine Marek, head of the ever-shrinking Vienna ÖVP, surprisingly stepped down today.

It has became known recently that the Vienna ÖVP fell below 10% in internal polling ... Tongue

Got any recent Vienna polls? That would be quite interesting.

Vienna is rarely polled after a state election. If it is, then the polls are "internals" from the parties.

But there was a Profil poll from June/July, which was not an internal and they had the ÖVP below 10%:

http://diepresse.com/home/panorama/wien/rathauskeller/681081/UmfragenKrieg_Wie-schlecht-geht-es-der-VP-wirklich
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #645 on: September 09, 2011, 08:44:01 AM »

With Christine Marek now out as ÖVP-Vienna-boss, 3 people are now traded as new party leaders:

Fritz Aichinger



Isabella Leeb



Manfred Juraczka



...

I guess Aichinger is the most likely new party leader, followed by Leeb and Juraczka.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #646 on: September 09, 2011, 11:14:46 AM »

I´m already looking forward to the next federal polls !

I guess the ÖVP will be moving back down to about 20%, while the SPÖ should get about 30% now.

Smiley
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Franzl
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« Reply #647 on: September 09, 2011, 11:17:09 AM »

I´m already looking forward to the next federal polls !

I guess the ÖVP will be moving back down to about 20%, while the SPÖ should get about 30% now.

Smiley

Really? I thought SPÖ, ÖVP and FPÖ were all about even at this point.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #648 on: September 09, 2011, 11:23:26 AM »

I´m already looking forward to the next federal polls !

I guess the ÖVP will be moving back down to about 20%, while the SPÖ should get about 30% now.

Smiley

Really? I thought SPÖ, ÖVP and FPÖ were all about even at this point.

Yeah, but that was before the recent developments incl. the connection of various former ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ members in corruption and lobbying scandals and the Vienna-ÖVP turmoil.

Also, the SPÖ has gone populist in the recent week, with proposing a 0.3-0.7% wealth tax on people with more than 1 Mio. € in personal assets - to help pay down the federal debt, reduce the budget deficit and invest in education and care. This wealth tax is backed by 70%+ of Austrians.

I would be surprised if the upcoming polls are not changing ...
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Franzl
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« Reply #649 on: September 09, 2011, 11:29:53 AM »

Kind of depends what counts as wealth....as to whether or not I would support such a measure.

Not opposed on principle, but I usually find such proposals to be pretty stupid in practice.
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